nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalWhich 2 Democratic candidates in the 2024 CA US Senate Election will finish in 1st and 2nd place in
the blanket primary.
Adam Schiff vs Ro Khanna?
Ro Khanna vs Katie Porter?
Katie Porter vs Adam Schiff?
Which health scare is very serious? Cancer or Stroke?
The reason why I bring this up is because John Fetterman(PA) suffered a stroke during the 2022 US Senate Election and won by a 5 percent margin against Doctorb Oz. Jamie Raskin has been diagnosed with cancer twice in his life 2010(colon cancer) and 2022(b cell lymphoma). If Raskin runs for the US Senate, he will win by at least a 25 percent margin.
The 2024 MD US Senate Democratic primary race between John Sarbanes and Jamie Raskin is going to be a Tossup. Raskin will run or not run depending on how serious the cancer is.
Who will replace MD US Representatives Sarbanes or Raskin if either of them run for the US Senate?
MD-3
Howard County Executive Calvin Ball III.
MD-8
State Senator
William Smith jr.(Montgomery County)
John Sarbanes is the obvious replacement to Ben Cardin.
US Representative from the Greater Baltimore Area.
Son of a popular former US Senator.
Jamie Raskin is the most progressive US House Member from MD.
Might not run because of the cancer and is going to become chairman of the US House Oversight and Reform Committee when the Democrats regain control of the US House.
US Senator from Maryland previous job before becoming US Senator.
Van Hollen-D(US House Member)2002-2016
Cardin-D(US House Member)1986-2006
Mikulski-D(US House Member)1976-1986
Sarbanes-D(US House Member)1970-1976
Beall jr-R(US House Member)1968-1970
Mathias-R(US House Member)1960-1968
J Tydings-D(US Attorney)
Brewster-D(US House Member)1958-1962
Beall-R(US House Member)1942-1952
Butler-R(Nothing)
8 out of 10 of those US Senators were members of the US House just right before they got elected to the US Senate.
If Cardin-D decides not to seek re-election in 2024, he will be replaced by
J. Sarbanes-D or J. Raskin-D.
If Cardin-MD decides not to seek re-election to his US Senate seat in 2024,
Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks should be the Democratic Nominee.
Alsobrooks will be the MD’s 1st black female US Senator and an outspoken progressive.
Jamie Raskin is better of remaining in the US House because he can represents a safe democratic district, he is a shoe-in in the Democratic primary for his US House seat, he can campaign for Democratic US House nominees from swing districts nationwide to get elected in order for Democrats to get back in the majority in the US House in order for Raskin to be the chairman of the US House Oversight and Reform Committee.
Democratic Party Performance in MD based on the largest counties.
Anne Arundel County- D(42.65- 31.80)
County Executive(Steuart Pittman-D)
Baltimore County- D(54.77- 24.30)
County Executive(John Olszewski-D)
Montgomery County- D(60.64- 14.38)
County Executive(Marc Elrich-D)
Prince George’s County- D(77.09- 6.28)
County Executive(Angela Alsobrooks-D)
Top tier Democratic US Senate candidates from each state in 2024.
AZ(Gallego-D or Stanton-D)
CA(Khanna-D,Porter-D,or Schiff-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D)
FL(Murphy-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
IN(Donnelly-D or Hogsett-D)
ME(King-I)
MD(Cardin-D,Alsobrooks-D,Raskin-D,Sarbanes-D,or Trone-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MS(Hood-D)
MO(Galloway-D,Kunce-D,or Lucas-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D or Fulop-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
TX(Allred-D,Castro,or Fletcher-D)
VT(Sanders-I,Donovan-D,Zuckerman-P)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
Angela Alsobrooks will be the MD version of Amy Klobuchar-MN. A female countywide elected official from their state’s largest counties that got elected to the US Senate(statewide elected office)
Alsobrooks-MD(Prince George’s) 2024
Klobuchar-MN(Hennepin) 2006
Klobuchar-MN won the 2006 MN US Senate Election by a margin greater than 20 percent.
Maryland
Montgomery County,MD(1,054,827)
Prince George’s County,MD(955,306)
Baltimore County,MD(854,535)
Anne Arundel County,MD(590,336)
Baltimore City,MD(576,498)
Minnesota
Hennepin County,MN(1,267,416)
Ramsey County,MN(543,257)
Potential Democratic candidates for the 2024 MD US Senate Election if Cardin retires.
Tom Perez- former DNC chair and US Secretary of Labor, ran for MD Governor in 2022- finished in 2nd place narrowly losing to Wes Moore.
US Representatives- John Sarbanes,Jamie Raskin,and Glenn Ivey.
MD Statewide Elected officials - Aruna Miller,Anthony Brown,and Brooke Lierman.
Tom Perez’s political career in MD and National politics.
Montgomery County Council 2002-2006
MD Secretary of Labor,Licensing,and Regulation. 2007-2009
US Assistant Attorney General for Civil Rights Division 2009-2013
US Secretary of Labor 2013-2017
Chairman of the Democratic National Committee 2017-2021.
Democratic candidate for MD Governor in 2022(finished in 2nd place)
Wes Moore received 32 percent,Tom Perez received 30 percent.
If Tom Perez wants to run for elected office in MD in the near future- US Senator in 2024 if Ben Cardin retires is the appropriate position.
Aruna Miller,Anthony Brown,Brooke Lierman,John Sarbanes,Jamie Raskin,and Glenn Ivey can remain in their current positions.
Tom Perez will be the first Hispanic US Senator from MD.
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