nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal2018 US Senate Election Ranking-Most Likely to Least Likely to flip.
1)AZ (Flake-R) Lean Democratic Takeover 24D
2)NV (Heller-R) Tossup Democratic Takeover 25D
3)MO (McCaskill-D) Tossup Democratic Retention 26D
4)IN (Donnelly-D)Tossup Democratic Retention 27D
5)WV (Manchin-D)Lean Democratic Retention 28D
6)ND (Heitkamp-D)Lean Democratic Retention 29D
7)FL (Nelson-D)Lean Democratic Retention 30D
8)OH (Brown-D)Lean Democratic Retention 31D
9)MT (Tester-D)Lean Democratic Retention 32D
10)WI (Baldwin-D)Lean Democratic Retention 33D
11)PA (Casey-D)Likely Democratic Retention 34D
12)VA (Kaine-D)Likely Democratic Retention 35D
13)ME (King-I/D)Likely Independent Retention 36D
14)MI (Stabenow-D)Likely Democratic Retention 37D
15)NJ (OPEN-Menendez-D)Likely Democratic Retention 38D/if Menendez-D is convicted and forced to resign before Christie-R leaves office and Christie-R gets to appoint-NJ will move from 15 to 1-Likely Democratic Takeover.
16)TN (OPEN-Corker-R)Likely Republican Retention 45R
17)TX (Cruz-R)Likely Republican Retention 46R
18)UT (Hatch-R)Solid Republican Retention 47R
19)NM (Heinrich-D)Solid Democratic Retention 39D
20)MA (Warren-D)Solid Democratic Retention 40D
21)CT (Murphy-D)Solid Democratic Retention 41D
22)MD (Cardin-D)Solid Democratic Retention 42D
23)NE (Fischer-R)Solid Republican Retention 48R
24)MS (Wicker-R)Solid Republican Retention 49R
25)RI (Whitehouse-D)Solid Democratic Retention 43D
26)MN (Klobuchar-D)Solid Democratic Retention 44D
27)DE (Carper-D)Solid Democratic Retention 45D
28)NY (Gillibrand-D)Solid Democratic Retention 46D
29)VT (Sanders-I/D)Solid Independent Retention 47D
30)WA (Cantwell-D)Solid Democratic Retention 48D
31)CA (Feinstein-D)Solid Democratic Retention 49D
32)HI (Hirono-D)Solid Democratic Retention 50D
33)WY (Barrasso-D)Solid Republican Retention 50R
Is Gillespie's political over after losing the 2017 VA Governors Race or
Will Gillespie seek a rematch against Warner in the 2020 VA US Senate Race?
Conservative Pundit Bill Kristol is endorsing Doug Jones for 2017 AL US Senate Race.
Kristol states that
1)Doug Jones would be a better US Senator than Roy Moore.
2)Moore as US Senator would be a constant embarrassment to the GOP
www.politics1.com
3)Moore's defeat would not cause the GOP of Senate majority. So why should Republican Senators, donors, etc support Moore? Answer-They shouldn't.
2017 Elections Prediction
November 2017
NJ Governor- Murphy-D +15 to +20 point margin.
VA Governor- Northam-D +5 to +10 point margin.
December 2017
AL US Senate- Moore-R +5 to +10 point margin.
Fox News Poll in the 2017 AL US Senate Race shows a statistical tie.
Roy Moore-R 42%
Doug Jones-D 42%
Whatever happened to Joe The Plumber?
Joe The Plumber gained publicity being a strong critic of the Obama Presidency.
How come he is not seen at any Trump rallies?
Isn't he suppose to be a Trump supporter?
2018 TN US Senate Race-former Democratic Governor Phil Bredesen-D (2003-2011) is considering
running for the US Senate. If Bredesen-D decides to run, What are his chances against likely Republican nominee-Marsha Blackburn? A Bredesen run and victory in November 2018 is key in Democrats regaining control of the US Senate.
Democrats guide to regaining control of the US Senate is
Scenario 1-Win AL Special on December 2017, In November 2018-Hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat in states Trump won, Pick up AZ-Sinema-D and NV-Rosen-D
Scenario 2-In November 2018-Hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat in states Trump won, Pick up AZ-Sinema-D,NV-Rosen-D, and TN-Bredesen-D.
Who is more like Monty Burns/Waylan Smithers?
Donald Trump/Mike Pence or Strom Thurmond/Trent Lott?
2018 US House and Senate Election-Democrats will regain control of the US House and 50-50 US Senate.
US House- 3 Democratic held US House seats are highly vulnerable.
MN-1 (OPEN-Walz-R)
NV-3 (OPEN-Rosen-R)
NH-1(OPEN-Shea Porter-R)
Democrats will hold onto MN-1,NV-2, and NH-1 and pick up 33 Republican held US House Seats.
1)AZ-2 (McSally-R)
2)CA-10 (Denham-R)
3)CA-21 (Valadao-R)
4)CA-25 (Knight-R)
5)CA-39 (Royce-R)
6)CA-43 (Walters-R)
7)CA-48 (Rohrabacher-R)
8)CA-49 (Issa-R)
9)CO-6 (Coffman-R)
10)FL-26 (Curbelo-R)
11)FL-27 (OPEN-Ros-Lehtinen-R)
12)IA-1 (Blum-R)
13)IA-3 (Young-R)
14)KS-2 (OPEN-Jenkins-R)Paul Davis-D
15)KS-3 (Yoder-R)
16)ME-2 ( Poliquin-R)
17)MI-8 (Bishop-R)
18)MI-11 (OPEN-Trott-R)
19)MN-2 (Lewis-R)
20)MN-3 (Paulsen-R)
21)NE-2 (Bacon-R)Brad Ashford-D
22)NJ-7 (Lance-R)
23)NJ-11 (Frelinghuysen-R)
24)NY-19 (Faso-R)
25)NY-22 (Tenney-R)
26)NY-24 (Katko-R)
27)PA-6 ( Costello-R)
28)PA-7 ( Meehan-R)
29)PA-8 ( Fitzpatrick-R)
30)PA-15 (OPEN-Dent-R)
31)TX-23 ( Hurd-R)
32)VA-10 ( Comstock-R)
33)WA-8 (OPEN-Reichert-R)
US Senate-8 Democratic held US Senate seats are vulnerable.
Tossup
1)IN (Donnelly-D)
2)MO (McCaskill-D)
Slight Democratic
3)WV ( Manchin-D)
4)ND (Heitkamp-D)
5)FL (Nelson-D)
Lean Democratic
6)MT (Tester-D)
7)OH ( Brown-D)
8)WI ( Baldwin-D)
Democrats will hold onto IN,MO,WV,ND,FL,MT,OH,and WI and pick up 2 Republican held US Senate seats.
1)NV (Heller-R)Rosen-D
2)AZ (Flake-R)Sinema-D
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