nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalIf you think Donald Sr and Donald jr are bad, check out Fred Trump.
Fred Trump
marched with the KKK in 1927-Memorial day.
was investigated by a US Senate committee in 1954 for overstating his building charges by 3.7 million dollars.
was sued by the Civil Rights Division in the US Department of Justice in 1973 for violating the Fair Housing Act of 1968-Tricky Dick Nixon was President during that time.
Republican Governors in Clinton 2016 states running for re-election in 2018 being on the ballot with
the Democratic US Senators.
MD-Hogan-R and Cardin-D. The last time a Republican Governor of MD won re-election to a 2nd term was in 1954-Theodore McKeldin-R. Hogan-R is likely to be a one termer.
MA-Baker-R and Warren-D. Baker-R will get re-elected in 2018 but margin of victory will be like Francis Sargeant's 1970 re-election victory-low double digit margin.
VT-Scott-R and Sanders-I/D. Scott-R will get re-elected in 2018. VT has elected and re-elected Republican Governors- Jim Douglas won re-election in 2004,2006,and 2008.
Democrats guide to regaining control of the US Senate starts with defeating Cruz-TX in 2018 and ends
with defeating Gardner-CO in 2020.
2018
Seats Democrats are favored to win by a double digit margin
CA-Feinstein-D 24
CT-Murphy-D 25
DE-Carper-D 26
HI-Hirono-D 27
ME-King-I/D 28
MD-Cardin-D 29
MA-Warren-D 30
MI-Stabenow-D 31
MN-Klobuchar-D 32
NJ-Whoever Democratic Governor Murphy-D appoints. 33
NM-Heinrich-D 34
NY-Gillibrand-D 35
RI-Whitehouse-D 36
VT-Sanders-I/D 37
VA-Kaine-D 38
WA-Cantwell-D 39
Seats Democrats are favored to win by a high single digit margin
AZ-Flake-R loses in the primary to Ward-R/Democrats nominate Stanton-D 40
FL-Nelson-D 41
MT-Tester-D 42
ND-Heitkamp-D 43
PA-Casey-D 44
WV-Manchin-D 45
Seats Democrats are favored to win by a narrow margin
IN-Donnelly-D 46
MO-McCaskill-D 47
NV-Rosen-D 48
OH-Brown-D 49
WI-Baldwin-D 50
Democrats need to win TX-O'Rourke-D to get to 51 seats or wait until 2020.
2020
Democrats are favored to win by a double digit margin
DE-Coons-D 40
IL-Durbin-D 41
MA-Markey-D 42
MI-Peters-D 43
MN-Franken-D 44
NJ-Booker-D 45
NM-Udall-D 46
OR-Merkley-D 47
RI-Reed-D 48
Democrats are favored to win by a high single digit margin
CO-Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D 49
NH-Shaheen-D 50
VA-Warner-D 51
Democrats could also defeat Tillis-NC 52
2020 US Senate Race-Highly Vulnerable Republican Held US Senate Seats.
AK(Sullivan-R)if Walker-I runs and caucuses with the Democrats.
CO (Gardner-R)Hickenlooper,Perlmutter,Hancock,Kennedy or Johnston-D can defeat Garder-R by a narrow to low double digit margin.
GA (Perdue-R)if Democrats win the 2018 GA Governors Race and Stacey Abrams or Stacey Evans-whoever does not become Governor runs.
IA (Ernest-R)if Tom or Christie Vilsack runs.
ME (Collins-R)if Collins-R retires and Chellie or Hannah Pingree-D runs.
MT (Daines-R)if Bullock-D runs.
NC (Tillis-R)if Beth Wood-D runs.
TX (Cornyn-R)if Democrats come within a single digit margin against Cruz and if Cornyn retires.-Democrats need to nominate Julian or Joaquin Castro.
2018 US Senate Election-Most to Least Vulnerable Democratic and Republican held US Senate seat.
Democratic Held Seats
Tossup
IN-Donnelly-D vs Messer-R
MO-McCaskill-D vs Hartzler-R
ND-Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R
OH-Brown-D vs Mandel-R
Lean Democratic
FL-Nelson-D vs Scott-R
MT-Tester-D vs Rosendale-R
WI-Baldwin-D vs Hovde-R
WV-Manchin-D vs Morrisey-R
Likely Democratic
MI-Stabenow-D vs Epstein-R
NJ-Norcross-D vs MacArthur-R
NM-Heinrich-D vs Sanchez-R
PA-Casey-D vs Saccone-R
VA-Kaine-D vs Stewart-R
Solid Democratic
CA-Feinstein-D
CT-Murphy-D
DE-Carper-D
HI-Hirono-D
ME-King-I/D
MD-Cardin-D
MA-Warren-D
MN-Klobuchar-D
NY-Gillibrand-D
RI-Whitehouse-D
VT-Sanders-I/D
WA-Cantwell-D
Republican Held Seats
Lean Democratic
AZ-Flake-R loses in the primary to DeWit-R. Democrats nominate Stanton-D
NV-Heller-R loses in the primary to Tarkanian-R. Democrats nominate Rosen-D
Lean Republican
TX-Cruz-R vs O'Rourke-D
Likely Republican
UT-Hatch-R vs McMullin-I
Solid Republican
MS-Wicker-R
NE-Fischer-R
TN-Corker-R
WY-Barrasso-R
Will Trump be in favor of building a wall between the Alaskan-Russian border from keeping
Sarah Palin from seeing Russia from her home?
The Gipper told a former Russian leader-Mr Goberchov, Tear Down this wall.
Would Gipper ever think about building a wall between the US- Mexican Border?
2020 Colorado US Senate Race-Which Democrat is Gardner going to face?
Hickenlooper?
Perlmutter?
Hancock?
Kennedy?
Johnston?
Garcia?
Lynne?
2018 US Senate Election Rating
Solid Democratic
CA-Feinstein-D 24
CT-Murphy-D 25
DE-Carper-D 26
HI-Hirono-D 27
MD-Cardin-D 28
MA-Warren-D 29
MN-Klobuchar-D 30
NM-Heinrich-D 31
NY-Gillibrand-D 32
RI-Whitehouse-D 33
VT-Sanders-I/D 34
WA-Cantwell-D 35
Solid Republican
MS-Wicker-R 45
NE-Fischer-R 46
TN-Corker-R 47
UT-Hatch-R 48
WY-Barrasso-R 49
Likely Democratic
ME-King-I/D 36
MI-Stabenow-D 37
NJ-Menendez-D 38
PA-Casey-D 39
VA-Kaine-D 40
Likely Republican
TX-Cruz-R 50
Lean Democratic
FL-Nelson-D 41
MT-Tester-D 42
OH-Brown-D 43
WV-Manchin-D 44
WI-Baldwin-D 45
Lean Republican
AZ-Flake-R 51
Tossup
IN-Donnelly-D
MO-McCaskill-D
NV-Heller-R
ND-Heitkamp-D
Democrats will end up with 45 to 49 seats in 2019.
2018 Colorado Governors Race-Which candidate will the Perlmutter supporters vote for?
Polis-the money candidate
Kennedy-candidate with Statewide experience.
Job Approval Rating for US Senators up for re-election in 2018
AZ (Flake-R)37-45
Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton-D or Mark Kelly-D need to run and this seat has a greater than 50 percent chance of becoming a Democratic pick up.
CA (Feinstein-D)51-33
CT (Murphy-D)53-33
DE (Carper-D)58-26
FL (Nelson-D)53-25
Nelson-D is favored to defeat any potential top tier Republican challenger.
HI (Hirono-D)67-23
IN (Donnelly-D)53-25
Donnelly-D will be able to defeat any potential top tier Republican challenger-Murdock incident or No Murdock incident.
ME (King-I/D)62-25
MD (Cardin-D)53-21
MA (Warren-D)57-35
MI (Stabenow-D)45-37
How would Stabenow-D do against a challenge from Justin Amash-R or Mike Rogers-R?
MN (Klobuchar-D)59-28
MS (Wicker-D)51-24
MO (McCaskill-D)46-38
McCaskill-D is the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent US Senator up for re-election in 2018.
MT (Tester-D)50-39
Tester-D is favored to defeat Matt Rosendale-R or Corey Stapleton-R.
NE (Fischer-R)49-33
NV (Heller-R)41-33
Heller-R is the other most vulnerable Republican incumbent US Senator up for re-election in 2018.
NJ (Menendez-D)39-38
Menendez-D is going to be out of office couple of months before the November 2018 General Election.
NM (Heinrich-D)48-30
NY (Gillibrand-D)53-23
ND (Heitkamp-D)60-28
Heitkamp-D is favored to defeat Kevin Cramer-R.
OH (Brown-D)50-29
Brown-D is favored to defeat Josh Mandel-R.
PA (Casey-D)46-31
RI (Whitehouse-D)46-35
TN (Corker-R)52-29
TX (Cruz-R)55-32
UT (Hatch-R)52-38
VT (Sanders-I/D)75-21
VA (Kaine-D)51-35
WA (Cantwell-D)54-28
WV (Manchin-D)57-31
Manchin-D will defeat Patrick Morrisey-R or Evan Jenkins-R
WI (Baldwin-D)42-38
The only top tier Republican candidate that might challenge Baldwin-D is Scott Fitzgerald.
WY(Barrasso-D)56-18
Democrats pick up AZ and NV but might lose MO. 49D 51R
In 2020
Democrats could lose MI but pick up CO and NC 50D 50R
If Democrats take back the White House they regain control of the US Senate in 2020.
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