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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 09:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,793

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Which NC US Senate seat does Jeff Jackson run for?

Thom Tillis(R-NC) in 2026 or Ted Budd(R-NC) in 2028?
Both of these US Senators are vulnerable and can be defeated by right Democratic candidate.

Roy Cooper runs against Thom Tillis.
Jeff Jackson runs against Ted Budd.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Feb 4, 2023, 05:05 PM (0 replies)

US House Members likely to get elected to the US Senate in 2024.

Based on seniority.
CA(Schiff-D)
MD(Sarbanes-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
WV(Mooney-R)
IN(Banks-R)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
ME(Golden-D)
VT(Balint-D)

US Senators likely to get re-elected in 2024 based on seniority.
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
MT(Tester-D)
WY(Barrasso-R)
MS(Wicker-R)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
ND(Hoeven-R)
WI(Baldwin-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
TX(Cruz-R)
MA(Warren-D)
NE(Fischer-R)
TN(Blackburn-R)
NV(Rosen-D)
FL(Scott-R)
MO(Hawley-R)
UT(Romney-R)
NE(Ricketts-R)





Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Feb 4, 2023, 04:53 PM (0 replies)

Top Tier Democratic Nominees of the 2024 US Senate Elections from each state.

AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D or Blunt Rochester-D)
FL(Murphy-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
IN(Donnelly-D or Hogsett-D)
ME(King-I or Golden-D)
MD(Cardin-D,Sarbanes-D,or Alsobrooks-D) Raskin does not run because of the cancer and is going to become a Chairman of the US House Oversight and Reform Committee if and when the Democrats regain control of the US House.
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Slotkin-D) How Gilchrist-D and Benson-D expressed interest in running?
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MO(Kunce-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
TX(Allred-D)
VT(Sanders-I or Zuckerman-P)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)

If Brandon Presley(D-MS) ends up narrowly losing the 2023 MS Governors Election, Will the DSCC recruit him to run for the US Senate similar to what they did to McCaskill in 2006?
McCaskill narrowly lost the 2004 MO Governors Election then narrowly won the 2006 MO US Senate Election.



Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Feb 4, 2023, 03:57 PM (0 replies)

Highly populated MD Counties from the most Democratic to the least Democratic.

Prince George's(77-6)
Baltimore City(77-7)
Montgomery(61-14)
Howard(53-21)
Baltimore(55-24)
Anne Arundel(43-32)


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Feb 4, 2023, 03:11 PM (0 replies)

The Democratic candidates likely to Cardin's MD US Senate seat in 2024 if Cardin decides to leave.

3 US House Members.
1)John Sarbanes- the most experienced(been in the US House since 2007), most well known(son of a long time popular former US Senator,) and currently represents US House District that Sarbanes’s father,Barbara Mikulski,and Ben Cardin represented before they got elected to the US Senate.
2)Jamie Raskin- the most progressive candididate, represents a Montgomery County US House District that the recently elected US Senator Chris Van Hollen represented before he got elected to the US Senate.
3)David Trone- the most wealthiest candidate, represents a US House District that has a lot of rural Republican voters(Western MD)
2 County Executives of the 3 most populated counties in MD.
4)Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks.- will become the 1st black/2nd female US Senator from MD. Prince George’s County is more populated than a single US House District. Alsobrooks played a major role in helping the 4 MD statewide elected officials(Moore,Miller,Lierman,and Brown) win the primary and general election.
5)Baltimore County Executive John Olszewski Jr. is the most youngest.

The frontrunner will Alsobrooks because she is a black female running against 4 white male candidates(3 of those 4 white male candidates are US House Members that are over 60 years old.) Alsobrooks represents the most Democratic county in MD(Prince George’s).

All of the 7 current Democratic US House Members from MD are over 60 years old.
Hoyer is over 80 years old.
Ruppersberger and Mfume are over 70 years old.
Trone,Ivey,Sarbanes,and Raskin are over 60 years old.

All 4 of the current Democratic statewide elected officials of MD were just elected.
Governor Wes Moore,Lt Governor Aruna Miller,Comptroller Brooke Lierman,and Attorney General Anthony Brown.


If we were to look at the other highly populated counties in MD with Democratic County Executives.
Stuart Pittman of Anne Arundel if not well known and Arundel is a swing county.
Brandon Scott of Baltimore City and Calvin Ball of Howard are young black male candidates.
Marc Ehrlich of Montgomery is too old.


If I were to rank those 5 2024 MD Democratic US Senate candidates, it will be
1)Angela Alsobrooks.
2)John Sarbanes.
3)Jamie Raskin.
4)David Trone.
5)John Olszewski.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Feb 4, 2023, 02:38 PM (0 replies)

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats have to win to remain in the majority.

28 Democratic held US Senate seats not up for re-election in 2024.
Safe Democratic US Senate seats
29)CA(Schiff-D/Porter-D)
30)HI(Hirono-D)
31)MA(Warren-D)
32)VT(Sanders-I or Ballint-D)
33)MD(Cardin-D or Sarbanes-D)
34)RI(Whitehouse-D)
35)NY(Gillibrand-D)
36)DE(Carper-D or Blunt Rochester-D)
37)MN(Klobuchar-D)
38)CT(Murphy-D)
39)WA(Cantwell-D)
40)NM(Heinrich-D)
41)NJ(Menendez-D)
Likely Democratic US Senate seats.
42)PA(Casey-D)
43)ME(King-I or Golden-D)
44)NV(Rosen-D)
Lean Democratic US Senate seats.
45)VA(Kaine-D vs Youngkin-R)
46)WI(Baldwin-D vs Gallagher-R)
47)MI(Slotkin-D)
48)AZ(Gallego-D)
Tilt Democratic US Senate seats
49)OH(Brown-D)
50)MT(Tester-D)

Democrats need to keep an eye on MO(Kunce-D). Kunce has a better chance of winning than Manchin-WV.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Feb 3, 2023, 08:52 PM (0 replies)

Ben Cardin should retire from the US Senate in 2030 and here is why.

If Ben Cardin decides to retire from the US Senate in 2024, The person that is likely to take Cardin’s US Senate seat is US Representative John Sarbanes of MD-3cd. John Sarbanes is the son of former 5 term MD US Senator Paul Sarbanes. MD-3cd was represented by Paul Sarbanes,Barbara Mikulski,and Ben Cardin before they became US Senator. Sarbanes has been in the US House since 2007. Only 2 MD Democratic US House members has more experience than John Sarbanes. Steny Hoyer and Dutch Ruppersberger but both of them are over 75 years old.
If Ben Cardin decides to retire from the US Senate in 2030, The person that is likely to take Cardin’s US Senate seat is Governor Wes Moore. In 2030, Wes Moore is going to complete his second and final term as Governor. The next elected office Moore can run for is President of the United States but Moore will need foreign policy experience. Getting elected to the US Senate a serving 1 term will make Wes Moore a strong President. If Wes Moore does not get elected President or Vice President, he will have a long US Senate career ahead. Wes Moore will be 52 years old when he gets elected to the US Senate in 2030. If Moore serves in the US Senate for 4 terms, he will be 76 years old, Moore can serve two more terms before his 90th birthday.

The choice is US Senator John Sarbanes in 2024/2025 or US Senator Wes Moore in 2030/2031.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Feb 3, 2023, 08:00 PM (0 replies)

Minnesota's next US Senator is going to be US Representative Angie Craig.

Craig’s MN-2CD US House District is in the Southern Twin Cities Suburbs. She is a member of the US House Agriculture,Energy and Commerce,and Small Business commitee. She is a co chair of the Congressional LGBT Equality Caucus and a member of the House Pro Choice Caucus.

Omar is going to be the idealistic Democratic US Senator from MN. A strong progressive from the Twin Cities. Omar is an immigrant. Omar needs to do extremely well in the Twin Cities(MN-5 and MN-4) higher turnout in MN-5 and MN-4 and win the popular vote in MN-3.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Feb 3, 2023, 07:26 AM (0 replies)

Who will succeed MD US Senator Ben Cardin?

If Ben Cardin decides not to seek re-election in 2024, It is most likely going to be John Sarbanes or Jamie Raskin.
If Ben Cardin decides not to seek re-election in 2030, it will be Wes Moore who will be completing his 2nd term as MD Governor. Wes Moore’s Presidential Ambition will begin in 2028,2032,and/or 2036. Getting elected to the US Senate in 2030 improves his chances of becoming President in 2036.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Feb 3, 2023, 04:47 AM (0 replies)

Democrats guide to regaining control of the US House in 2024.

1)NY-3
2)NY-4
3)NY-17
4)NY-19
5)NY-22
6)CA-13
7)CA-22
8)CA-27
9)CA-45
10)OR-5
11)AZ-1
12)AZ-6
13)CO-3
14)IA-3
15)MI-10
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Feb 2, 2023, 11:37 PM (2 replies)
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