The Tossup US Senate Races in 2022 that the Democrats will need to win to remain in the majority.

Scenario 1)
PA(Fetterman-D) 49
GA(Warnock-D) 50
Scenario 2)
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 49
GA(Warnock-D) 50
Scenario 3)
PA(Fetterman-D) 49
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 50

The 2022 GA US Senate Election runoff plus PA and/or NV are the US Senate Races Democrats must win.

Democrats are favored to win
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
Democrats will narrowly win.
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
Democrats have a 50-50 percent chance of winning
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

Which of these incoming Republican US Senators are one termers or less than one termers.

Katie Britt-AL?
Herschel Walker-GA?
Eric Schmitt-MO?
Adam Laxalt-NV?
Ted Budd-NC?
JD Vance-OH?
Mark Wayne McMullin-OK?
Mehmet Oz-PA?

Democrats guide to remain in the majority in the US Senate is to win WA,CO,NH,AZ,PA and GA or NV.

Solid Democratic seats.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
Likely Democratic seats
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean Democratic seats
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
Tilt Democratic seats.
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50/51)NV(Cortez Masto-D) and/or GA(Warnock-D)

Fetterman and Oz Debate!

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin greater than 25 percent.

HI(Schatz-D) 37
MD(Van Hollen-D) 38
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 20 to 25 percent margin.
VT(Welch-D) 39
CA(Padilla-D) 40
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 15 to 20 percent margin.
NY(Schumer-D) 41
OR(Wyden-D) 42
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 10 to 15 percent margin.
IL(Duckworth-D) 43
CT(Blumenthal-D) 44
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 5 to 10 percent margin.
WA(Murray-D) 45
CO(Bennet-D) 46
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 1 to 5 percent margin.
NH(Hassan-D) 47
AZ(Kelly-D) 48
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin less than 1 percent.
PA(Fetterman-D) 49
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 50
GA(Warnock-D) 50/51 12/2022 runoff.

Ranking US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 from solid to slight margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)

Tossup US Senate Races
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that are competive.

WA(Murray-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
FL(Demings-D)
IA(Franken-D)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 according 538.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
Democrats will win GA(Warnock-D) in the 12/2022 runoff.
NV(Cortez Masto-D).

US Senate seats up in 2022 where the average margin of victory or defeat is less than 5 percent.

AZ(Kelly-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
WI(Barnes-D)

Democrats need to win 4 out of the these 8 seats in order to remain in the majority.

Democrats will win AZ(Kelly-D) and NH(Hassan-D) Democrats lead in every public opinion in polling in both of these seats.
Republicans will win NC(Budd-R),OH(Vance-R) and WI(Johnson-R).

The Tossup races are GA,NV,and PA. Democrats will win GA in the 12/2022 runoff.
Democrats need to win NV and PA.