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Celerity
Celerity's Journal
Celerity's Journal
December 7, 2021
Canada's double-digit house price inflation will lose steam next year, but affordability is still almost certain to worsen in one of the world's hottest property markets, according to a Reuters poll of analysts.
A rush to purchase homes ahead of expected increases in Canadian interest rates next year is boosting the housing market in the final quarter, with prices skyrocketing 18.2% in October compared to the year-earlier period.
Extra froth in the market, driven by investors fueling perceptions that prices will keep rising, has prompted the Bank of Canada to recently warn of an increased risk of a correction.
"Affordability is unlikely to improve next year as prices should march higher, even as interest rates creep upwards as well," said Rishi Sondhi, economist at TD Economics, who expects house price inflation to slow considerably next year.
snip
Red-hot Canadian property market to lose some steam in 2022: Reuters poll
https://www.reuters.com/business/red-hot-canadian-property-market-lose-some-steam-2022-2021-12-07/Canada's double-digit house price inflation will lose steam next year, but affordability is still almost certain to worsen in one of the world's hottest property markets, according to a Reuters poll of analysts.
A rush to purchase homes ahead of expected increases in Canadian interest rates next year is boosting the housing market in the final quarter, with prices skyrocketing 18.2% in October compared to the year-earlier period.
Extra froth in the market, driven by investors fueling perceptions that prices will keep rising, has prompted the Bank of Canada to recently warn of an increased risk of a correction.
"Affordability is unlikely to improve next year as prices should march higher, even as interest rates creep upwards as well," said Rishi Sondhi, economist at TD Economics, who expects house price inflation to slow considerably next year.
snip
December 7, 2021
When dozens of Spanish nurses and doctors gathered to celebrate the holiday season earlier this month, they probably didnt intend to spread anything more than Christmas cheer. But 68 of the 173 intensive care nurses and doctors attending a Dec. 1 Christmas party came away positive for the coronavirus, according to Spanish authorities. The University Regional Hospital in Malaga nurses and doctors are now isolating, health officials said Monday. All who contracted COVID-19 had had antigen tests or booster vaccinations and are showing only mild symptoms. A spokesperson suggested the source of the viral spread might alternatively have been a large holiday meal that had been hosted for the hospitals staff. Andalusian authorities have recommended other public and private hospital staff steer clear of Christmas parties for the foreseeable future, as Spain identified its seventh case of the virus Omicron variant on Monday.
Read it at Reuters
Nearly 70 ICU Nurses, Doctors Test Positive for COVID After Christmas Party
https://www.thedailybeast.com/68-icu-nurses-doctors-at-spanish-hospital-test-positive-for-covid-19-after-christmas-partyWhen dozens of Spanish nurses and doctors gathered to celebrate the holiday season earlier this month, they probably didnt intend to spread anything more than Christmas cheer. But 68 of the 173 intensive care nurses and doctors attending a Dec. 1 Christmas party came away positive for the coronavirus, according to Spanish authorities. The University Regional Hospital in Malaga nurses and doctors are now isolating, health officials said Monday. All who contracted COVID-19 had had antigen tests or booster vaccinations and are showing only mild symptoms. A spokesperson suggested the source of the viral spread might alternatively have been a large holiday meal that had been hosted for the hospitals staff. Andalusian authorities have recommended other public and private hospital staff steer clear of Christmas parties for the foreseeable future, as Spain identified its seventh case of the virus Omicron variant on Monday.
Read it at Reuters
December 7, 2021
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2022/01/january-6-insurrection-trump-coup-2024-election/620843/
Technically, the next attempt to overthrow a national election may not qualify as a coup. It will rely on subversion more than violence, although each will have its place. If the plot succeeds, the ballots cast by American voters will not decide the presidency in 2024. Thousands of votes will be thrown away, or millions, to produce the required effect. The winner will be declared the loser. The loser will be certified president-elect.
The prospect of this democratic collapse is not remote. People with the motive to make it happen are manufacturing the means. Given the opportunity, they will act. They are acting already. Who or what will safeguard our constitutional order is not apparent today. It is not even apparent who will try. Democrats, big and small D, are not behaving as if they believe the threat is real. Some of them, including President Joe Biden, have taken passing rhetorical notice, but their attention wanders. They are making a grievous mistake.
The democratic emergency is already here, Richard L. Hasen, a professor of law and political science at UC Irvine, told me in late October. Hasen prides himself on a judicious temperament. Only a year ago he was cautioning me against hyperbole. Now he speaks matter-of-factly about the death of our body politic. We face a serious risk that American democracy as we know it will come to an end in 2024, he said, but urgent action is not happening.
For more than a year now, with tacit and explicit support from their partys national leaders, state Republican operatives have been building an apparatus of election theft. Elected officials in Arizona, Texas, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and other states have studied Donald Trumps crusade to overturn the 2020 election. They have noted the points of failure and have taken concrete steps to avoid failure next time. Some of them have rewritten statutes to seize partisan control of decisions about which ballots to count and which to discard, which results to certify and which to reject. They are driving out or stripping power from election officials who refused to go along with the plot last November, aiming to replace them with exponents of the Big Lie. They are fine-tuning a legal argument that purports to allow state legislators to override the choice of the voters.
snip
excellent long-form article
Trump's Next Coup Has Already Begun
January 6 was practice. Donald Trumps GOP is much better positioned to subvert the next election.https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2022/01/january-6-insurrection-trump-coup-2024-election/620843/
Technically, the next attempt to overthrow a national election may not qualify as a coup. It will rely on subversion more than violence, although each will have its place. If the plot succeeds, the ballots cast by American voters will not decide the presidency in 2024. Thousands of votes will be thrown away, or millions, to produce the required effect. The winner will be declared the loser. The loser will be certified president-elect.
The prospect of this democratic collapse is not remote. People with the motive to make it happen are manufacturing the means. Given the opportunity, they will act. They are acting already. Who or what will safeguard our constitutional order is not apparent today. It is not even apparent who will try. Democrats, big and small D, are not behaving as if they believe the threat is real. Some of them, including President Joe Biden, have taken passing rhetorical notice, but their attention wanders. They are making a grievous mistake.
The democratic emergency is already here, Richard L. Hasen, a professor of law and political science at UC Irvine, told me in late October. Hasen prides himself on a judicious temperament. Only a year ago he was cautioning me against hyperbole. Now he speaks matter-of-factly about the death of our body politic. We face a serious risk that American democracy as we know it will come to an end in 2024, he said, but urgent action is not happening.
For more than a year now, with tacit and explicit support from their partys national leaders, state Republican operatives have been building an apparatus of election theft. Elected officials in Arizona, Texas, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and other states have studied Donald Trumps crusade to overturn the 2020 election. They have noted the points of failure and have taken concrete steps to avoid failure next time. Some of them have rewritten statutes to seize partisan control of decisions about which ballots to count and which to discard, which results to certify and which to reject. They are driving out or stripping power from election officials who refused to go along with the plot last November, aiming to replace them with exponents of the Big Lie. They are fine-tuning a legal argument that purports to allow state legislators to override the choice of the voters.
snip
excellent long-form article
December 7, 2021
https://twitter.com/soledadobrien/status/1467629631851356160
I love that
@Milbank
did this. So important.
But let's also dissect this idea, "We see it as our job to be negative." True enough and also likely damaging to our trust and to the public good. Here are the roots of
@soljourno
.
Brian Stelter
@brianstelter
· 9h
"We see it as our job to be negative, to be adversarial. But there's a real problem when we are being just as adversarial 'cuz a guy didn't pass a bill as we are when a guy is trying to overthrow democracy" @Milbank
https://twitter.com/jeffjarvis/status/1467869335804915714
As I keep telling ya'll... Politico is trash.
Politicos coverage of Biden was THREE TIMES AS NEGATIVE as its overall coverage in November, our sentiment analysis found, @RyanLizzahttps://twitter.com/soledadobrien/status/1467629631851356160
I love that
@Milbank
did this. So important.
But let's also dissect this idea, "We see it as our job to be negative." True enough and also likely damaging to our trust and to the public good. Here are the roots of
@soljourno
.
Brian Stelter
@brianstelter
· 9h
"We see it as our job to be negative, to be adversarial. But there's a real problem when we are being just as adversarial 'cuz a guy didn't pass a bill as we are when a guy is trying to overthrow democracy" @Milbank
https://twitter.com/jeffjarvis/status/1467869335804915714
December 6, 2021
https://www.ft.com/content/08e76970-fb82-42f9-87d3-d317189ce5b9
Russias largest social media network VKontakte has come under state control after a series of deals gave a majority stake to companies linked to state-run gas monopoly Gazprom.
Boris Dobrodeev, chief executive of VKontaktes parent company VK, said on Friday he was stepping down, a day after Russian billionaire Alisher Usmanovs USM Group said it had sold its interest in VK to Gazprom affiliate Sogaz, an insurance company, while Gazprom Media said it had also acquired a stake.
The two will share control over VK, which was known until recently as Mail.ru, as well as other popular brands in its network, such as social media platform Odnoklassniki. VKontakte, which offers messaging and news, has about 100m active users, making it the largest social media network in Europe, according to Similarweb.
The Kremlin has recently stepped up its decade-long campaign to assert control over the internet, which has previously seen it increase its engagement with domestic internet companies.
snip
Gazprom takes majority stake in VK, Russia's biggest social media site
VKontakte comes under state oversight after deals with companies linked to gas monopolyhttps://www.ft.com/content/08e76970-fb82-42f9-87d3-d317189ce5b9
Russias largest social media network VKontakte has come under state control after a series of deals gave a majority stake to companies linked to state-run gas monopoly Gazprom.
Boris Dobrodeev, chief executive of VKontaktes parent company VK, said on Friday he was stepping down, a day after Russian billionaire Alisher Usmanovs USM Group said it had sold its interest in VK to Gazprom affiliate Sogaz, an insurance company, while Gazprom Media said it had also acquired a stake.
The two will share control over VK, which was known until recently as Mail.ru, as well as other popular brands in its network, such as social media platform Odnoklassniki. VKontakte, which offers messaging and news, has about 100m active users, making it the largest social media network in Europe, according to Similarweb.
The Kremlin has recently stepped up its decade-long campaign to assert control over the internet, which has previously seen it increase its engagement with domestic internet companies.
snip
December 6, 2021
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-59548210
Covid green passes are now required to access various public services and venues in Italy
Many public activities will be off limits to anyone without a so-called Covid Super Green Pass from Monday. The pass shows proof of vaccination, or recovery from the virus within the last six months. It will be needed to enter theatres, cinemas, music venues, sports events, restaurants and bars until mid-January.
The new measures strengthen the existing Covid green passes, which can be obtained following a negative test. The basic green passes will now be required to use public transport, as well as to access places of work. Italy is grappling with a spike in coronavirus infections, which have been rising gradually since mid-October.
There is also concern around Europe about the spread of the Omicron variant, which experts fear may be more transmissible and evade some immunity to Covid. Italy was ravaged by infections in the early stages of the pandemic and has one of the highest death tolls at more than 134,000.
But the country's vaccination rate is higher than many of its neighbours. About 73% of the total population have been fully vaccinated and 11% have had booster shots, according to the latest data. Even so, several Italian cities have imposed rules obliging people to wear facemasks, even in outdoor settings such as crowded shopping streets.
snip
Covid-19: Italy tightens restrictions for unvaccinated
Italy has introduced tougher restrictions for unvaccinated people amid concern over the Omicron variant and a potential spike in infections.https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-59548210
Covid green passes are now required to access various public services and venues in Italy
Many public activities will be off limits to anyone without a so-called Covid Super Green Pass from Monday. The pass shows proof of vaccination, or recovery from the virus within the last six months. It will be needed to enter theatres, cinemas, music venues, sports events, restaurants and bars until mid-January.
The new measures strengthen the existing Covid green passes, which can be obtained following a negative test. The basic green passes will now be required to use public transport, as well as to access places of work. Italy is grappling with a spike in coronavirus infections, which have been rising gradually since mid-October.
There is also concern around Europe about the spread of the Omicron variant, which experts fear may be more transmissible and evade some immunity to Covid. Italy was ravaged by infections in the early stages of the pandemic and has one of the highest death tolls at more than 134,000.
But the country's vaccination rate is higher than many of its neighbours. About 73% of the total population have been fully vaccinated and 11% have had booster shots, according to the latest data. Even so, several Italian cities have imposed rules obliging people to wear facemasks, even in outdoor settings such as crowded shopping streets.
snip
December 6, 2021
Many have lost all trust in politics, Robert Misik writes. The protests against vaccination and anti-virus rules however turn this into madness.
https://socialeurope.eu/the-revolt-against-reason
Soon we shall all know someone killed by vaccinationan anti-vaccine protest in Switzerland
The diagnosis of a split in society is commonplace todaysocieties are shaken by discord and divisions are intensifying. The claims differ in details but on some basic assumptions there is usually agreement. First, there are increasingly testy disputes, largely along a traditional left-right axis but sometimes deviating from it. Culture wars break out over gender issues, racism and anti-racism, immigration and who belongs to the useven lifestyles. Pundits talk about societies breaking into hostile tribes.
There is also a degree of unanimity in the analyses about alienation from the conventional political systeman anger that they are not interested in us at allespecially in underprivileged segments of the population, including the old working classes but also the marginalised lower middle class and the underclass. These who are victims of growing insecurity feel that they can no longer rely on solidarity: You cant count on anyone anymore. Many people say I just look out for myself now in a depressed, negative individualism. These social milieu are then particularly appealing to right-wing populists and extremists who proclaim: Yes, no one listens to youbut I am your voice.
Part of the problem?
This is a particular challenge for progressive political parties: the social democrats, the Labour Party, the American Democrats, the vast majority of traditional labour and left-wing movements. On the one hand, left-wing parties have a great deal of sympathy with popular revolts against ruling elites and systems of chronic injusticeindeed, for many decades of their existence they were the bearers of them. Yet, on the other hand, in the eyes of many who turn away in disappointment, they themselves are part of that detested elite. Even if theythe partiessee themselves as part of the solution, many of their potential voters see them as part of the problem. This is by no means to say that the supporters of right-wing, anti-system parties are primarily part of a working class that has become politically homelessbut they do also come from this group. Those who are under economic pressure, who struggle with job insecurity, who are confronted with stagnating wages and who generally see themselves as losers of economic transformations easily feel politically unheard, no longer represented, disrespected and left behind as innocent victims of injustice.
I have analysed all this in my book The False Friends of the Ordinary People, including how right-wing populists appeal successfully to the traditional values of the working classes. The left-wing and progressive parties have, of course, already recognised the problem and are responding to it in a wide variety of ways: shifting to the left, managing a gradual course correction or dissolving into hopeless debates about strategy. The fact that the German social democrats went into the recent Bundestag election campaign with the slogan Respect is due to this diagnosis, and at least it led to the SPD regaining first place and the chancellorship. It is remarkable that, while different countries on different continents have strikingly different political cultures and traditions, these discourses and rhetorics are astonishing similar. The structural transformation of debate in the public spherethrough the internet, blogs and social mediaof course contributes massively here and yet this is often dramatically underestimated.
snip
The revolt against reason
Many have lost all trust in politics, Robert Misik writes. The protests against vaccination and anti-virus rules however turn this into madness.
https://socialeurope.eu/the-revolt-against-reason
Soon we shall all know someone killed by vaccinationan anti-vaccine protest in Switzerland
The diagnosis of a split in society is commonplace todaysocieties are shaken by discord and divisions are intensifying. The claims differ in details but on some basic assumptions there is usually agreement. First, there are increasingly testy disputes, largely along a traditional left-right axis but sometimes deviating from it. Culture wars break out over gender issues, racism and anti-racism, immigration and who belongs to the useven lifestyles. Pundits talk about societies breaking into hostile tribes.
There is also a degree of unanimity in the analyses about alienation from the conventional political systeman anger that they are not interested in us at allespecially in underprivileged segments of the population, including the old working classes but also the marginalised lower middle class and the underclass. These who are victims of growing insecurity feel that they can no longer rely on solidarity: You cant count on anyone anymore. Many people say I just look out for myself now in a depressed, negative individualism. These social milieu are then particularly appealing to right-wing populists and extremists who proclaim: Yes, no one listens to youbut I am your voice.
Part of the problem?
This is a particular challenge for progressive political parties: the social democrats, the Labour Party, the American Democrats, the vast majority of traditional labour and left-wing movements. On the one hand, left-wing parties have a great deal of sympathy with popular revolts against ruling elites and systems of chronic injusticeindeed, for many decades of their existence they were the bearers of them. Yet, on the other hand, in the eyes of many who turn away in disappointment, they themselves are part of that detested elite. Even if theythe partiessee themselves as part of the solution, many of their potential voters see them as part of the problem. This is by no means to say that the supporters of right-wing, anti-system parties are primarily part of a working class that has become politically homelessbut they do also come from this group. Those who are under economic pressure, who struggle with job insecurity, who are confronted with stagnating wages and who generally see themselves as losers of economic transformations easily feel politically unheard, no longer represented, disrespected and left behind as innocent victims of injustice.
I have analysed all this in my book The False Friends of the Ordinary People, including how right-wing populists appeal successfully to the traditional values of the working classes. The left-wing and progressive parties have, of course, already recognised the problem and are responding to it in a wide variety of ways: shifting to the left, managing a gradual course correction or dissolving into hopeless debates about strategy. The fact that the German social democrats went into the recent Bundestag election campaign with the slogan Respect is due to this diagnosis, and at least it led to the SPD regaining first place and the chancellorship. It is remarkable that, while different countries on different continents have strikingly different political cultures and traditions, these discourses and rhetorics are astonishing similar. The structural transformation of debate in the public spherethrough the internet, blogs and social mediaof course contributes massively here and yet this is often dramatically underestimated.
snip
December 6, 2021
https://www.thrillist.com/drink/where-to-drink-cosmopolitans-in-chicago
IPAs tend to hog a lot of the beer-loving spotlight, but for true believers, the holiest of grails are those containing stouts. Theres a reason beer nerds gather in dank cellars to swap precious, limited-edition, coal-black stouts, and why for some, Dark Lord Day brings more joy than Christmas morning. Whether theyre flagship offerings from great breweries or one-off, barrel-aged masterpieces that change in flavor profile every day, stouts are among the most beloved, complex, and sought-after beers on the planet.
So, choosing the best stouts of the moment is probably a fools errand. Luckily, weve (mostly) forgone consulting fools, instead opting to enlist a panel of beer experts to name the stouts you should be seeking out right now. While some of the stouts on this list are widely available, many require a pilgrimage to a brewery. Others demand that you buy a ticket to a launch event. And some require you to take to the dark (beer) web in order to find people willing to sell or trade their precious bottles after theyve disappeared from shelves. But were confident youll be able to seek out even the whitest of whales on this list. And when you do wanna trade?
snip
The 24 Best Stouts in America to Try This Winter
This is gonna get dark.https://www.thrillist.com/drink/where-to-drink-cosmopolitans-in-chicago
IPAs tend to hog a lot of the beer-loving spotlight, but for true believers, the holiest of grails are those containing stouts. Theres a reason beer nerds gather in dank cellars to swap precious, limited-edition, coal-black stouts, and why for some, Dark Lord Day brings more joy than Christmas morning. Whether theyre flagship offerings from great breweries or one-off, barrel-aged masterpieces that change in flavor profile every day, stouts are among the most beloved, complex, and sought-after beers on the planet.
So, choosing the best stouts of the moment is probably a fools errand. Luckily, weve (mostly) forgone consulting fools, instead opting to enlist a panel of beer experts to name the stouts you should be seeking out right now. While some of the stouts on this list are widely available, many require a pilgrimage to a brewery. Others demand that you buy a ticket to a launch event. And some require you to take to the dark (beer) web in order to find people willing to sell or trade their precious bottles after theyve disappeared from shelves. But were confident youll be able to seek out even the whitest of whales on this list. And when you do wanna trade?
snip
December 6, 2021
https://www.thrillist.com/lifestyle/los-angeles/la-prosperity-market-founders-guide-small-business-saturday
Rather than spend your precious weekends scouring mall parking lots or scrolling through endless pages of identical products on Amazon, avoid the stress and supply-chain delays by shopping small and local this holiday season. And if youre in LA, look to Prosperity Market, a virtual marketplace and pop-up farmers market founded by Carmen Dianne and Kara Still, that promotes Black farmers and vendors. Prior to launching the market, Dianne was a makeup artist and Still worked in fashion, but both women were inspired to enter a new arena at the height of the COVID pandemic and a racial reckoning in America.
As Dianne explains, We wanted to create economic impact in our communities. We were seeing such a big push to support Black businesses, but we were troubled by conflicting statistics. You hear about how a dollar only stays in the Black community for about six hours, but then you also hear about how the Black community has over a trillion dollars in buying power. The numbers didnt add up, and we wondered: how do we use this buying power, but actually keep it in our communities? Exploring that, we found the gap in food.
Prosperity Market sought to solve a specifically Californian conundrum: our state is the largest agricultural producer in the United States, but most of that food is exported, and Los Angeles is home to the largest population of food-insecure residents in the country. Over the last century, Black farmers have lost over 12 million acres of farmland and their numbers have dwindled from over a million to just 45,000 out of 3.4 million farmers across the country. In California, fewer than 1% of the states 70,000 farms are Black-owned or managed. By launching a mobile marketplace that travels across LA County, the market not only helps farmers and vendors expand their reach, but is able to provide fresh, whole foods to food deserts where farmers markets dont exist.
Our market is built on two pillars: economic impact and food access, Still explains. She says that, Part of the economic impact is being able to provide a lucrative platform for our farmers and our vendors. We want them to be able to provide their products to Malibu just as well as to people in Inglewood. Its beneficial to them and its beneficial to our community. The other piece is food access: being mobile allows us to not only go to places where our vendors or farmers will profit, but to bring it to underserved neighborhoods and help people get reconnected to each other and to food, to create a sense of community and fun in a safe place.
Shop Small and Black-Owned in LA with Prosperity Market
The founders of the virtual marketplace and pop-up farmers market share their favorite farmers and vendors.https://www.thrillist.com/lifestyle/los-angeles/la-prosperity-market-founders-guide-small-business-saturday
Rather than spend your precious weekends scouring mall parking lots or scrolling through endless pages of identical products on Amazon, avoid the stress and supply-chain delays by shopping small and local this holiday season. And if youre in LA, look to Prosperity Market, a virtual marketplace and pop-up farmers market founded by Carmen Dianne and Kara Still, that promotes Black farmers and vendors. Prior to launching the market, Dianne was a makeup artist and Still worked in fashion, but both women were inspired to enter a new arena at the height of the COVID pandemic and a racial reckoning in America.
As Dianne explains, We wanted to create economic impact in our communities. We were seeing such a big push to support Black businesses, but we were troubled by conflicting statistics. You hear about how a dollar only stays in the Black community for about six hours, but then you also hear about how the Black community has over a trillion dollars in buying power. The numbers didnt add up, and we wondered: how do we use this buying power, but actually keep it in our communities? Exploring that, we found the gap in food.
Prosperity Market sought to solve a specifically Californian conundrum: our state is the largest agricultural producer in the United States, but most of that food is exported, and Los Angeles is home to the largest population of food-insecure residents in the country. Over the last century, Black farmers have lost over 12 million acres of farmland and their numbers have dwindled from over a million to just 45,000 out of 3.4 million farmers across the country. In California, fewer than 1% of the states 70,000 farms are Black-owned or managed. By launching a mobile marketplace that travels across LA County, the market not only helps farmers and vendors expand their reach, but is able to provide fresh, whole foods to food deserts where farmers markets dont exist.
Our market is built on two pillars: economic impact and food access, Still explains. She says that, Part of the economic impact is being able to provide a lucrative platform for our farmers and our vendors. We want them to be able to provide their products to Malibu just as well as to people in Inglewood. Its beneficial to them and its beneficial to our community. The other piece is food access: being mobile allows us to not only go to places where our vendors or farmers will profit, but to bring it to underserved neighborhoods and help people get reconnected to each other and to food, to create a sense of community and fun in a safe place.
Profile Information
Gender: FemaleHometown: London
Home country: US/UK/Sweden
Current location: Stockholm, Sweden
Member since: Sun Jul 1, 2018, 07:25 PM
Number of posts: 43,349