crazytown
crazytown's JournalTrump's got 42.9% approval at 538. Ya wanna know why?
Well one reason is that Nate Silver keeps Rasmussen Report in the mix, an outfit even more fair and balanced than Fox News. 51% of Americans approve of President Trump according to Rasmussen.
RR 18-20/11 Trump 51/48% approval
Cf
18-20/11 YouGov 40/49%
17-20/11 ARG 42/55%
14-20/11 Ipsos 44/51%
14-19/11 Quinnipiac 41/54%
Yes, Nate, discounts and adjusts their results. After reweighting RRs adjusted results areTrump 48/51%.
Ramussen is sewerage. RRs are updated every 2-3 days, are inexplicably counter narrative (if other polls go down, it goes up) and disproportionally dominates Registered Voters.
Ive heard Nate justify leaving Rasmussen in with a Both Sides argument. No good enough. If the evidence mounts that a survey is not just biased, but a croc of cooked up lies, its time to give then the boot.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
Michelle Obama: GWB is a "beautiful, funny, kind, sweet man"
Source: CNN Wire / wtvr.com
Former first lady Michelle Obama said that her oft-admired friendship with former President George W. Bush serves as a reminder of how relationships should be during a time when America only sees all the nasty parts of political discourse.
Id love if we as a country could get back to the place where we didnt demonize people who disagreed with us, she added.
Although Obama and Bush dont always agree on things, Obama said, she still considered the former president a beautiful, funny, kind, sweet man.
https://wtvr.com/2018/11/17/michelle-obama-opens-up-about-her-friendship-with-george-w-bush/
I can hear Barack saying we can disagree without being disagreeable. Well, I guess the million or so people GWB killed dont disagree, they were silenced forever. Michelle is well advised to stay clear of politics. These remarks are up there with GWBs comments about Putins soul.
Putin is about to gain control of Interpol
Source: Sydney Morning Herald
Putin is about to gain control of Interpol
Their most important agenda item: elect the organisation's new president to replace Meng Hongwei, who went missing in China in October. (The Chinese authorities later announced that Meng had been arrested on "corruption charges" and sent what was purported to be his resignation letter to the agency's headquarters in Lyon, France.)
The leading candidate to become the next president of Interpol is Alexander Prokopchuk, a police general in the Russian Interior Ministry who has for the past seven years headed Interpol's Russian bureau. Prokopchuk's candidacy was kept under wraps until the last moment - and, presumably, until the Kremlin was confident of securing enough votes.
The British government has determined that Prokopchuk's victory is assured to the extent that "there is no point in trying to stop him".
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/putin-is-about-to-gain-control-of-interpol-20181120-p50h78.html
Compare and Contrast Trump with GWB
This is a follow up to an earlier post comparing Trump with Nixon
- off the top of my head - neither was elected by the American people. GWB killed lot more people - asleep at the wheel for 9/11 then Afganistan & Iraq wars. Presided over the Katrina disaster & the 2007 financial crash. In bed with the Saudis. Lined the pockets of Halliburton & Blackwater. Linguistically challenged.
How many lives, how many families were broken by his wars and the Great Recession?
On the other hand, may have been fooled by Putin but did not sell us out. Did not conduct a frontal assault on the press.
One thing in common - both lobbied hard for Kavanaugh
Fox News Sides With CNN in Lawsuit Against Trump Administration
Source: Fortune
A day after CNN announced that it was filing a lawsuit against members of the Trump administration for revoking correspondent Jim Acosta's press credentials, Fox News is siding with the rival network.
Fox News announced Wednesday that it stands behind CNN's efforts to restore Acosta's White House press credentials, noting that it intends to file an amicus brief with the U.S. District Court in support of CNN's suit.
"Secret Service passes for working White House journalists should never be weaponized," said Fox News President Jay Wallace in a statement. "While we don't condone the growing antagonistic tone by both the president and the press at recent media avails, we do support a free press, access and open exchanges for the American people."
Read more: http://fortune.com/2018/11/14/fox-news-sides-with-cnn-lawsuit/
What do you think of Clay Jones' cartoons?
Not really a GD issue, so I am posting here. What do you think of the grotesque way Clay draws Trump? My take - great cartoonist.
Listening to Gen McCystal interview on BBC : 1 min in - 'BOTH SIDES'
(weve got) very extreme politics from the left and the right - youve got to move towards the middle.
I turned it off. A lie that denies hate is hate.
Why is American politics so divided? Hateful lies, and liars like you General McCrystal.
There's one thing I like about Donald Trump
Hes 72 years old. Theres a good chance Ill be around when he dies. Ill celebrate as hard as Ive cried.
Ive never felt this way about anyone else before.
2018 Exit Polls: White Voters Abandon the GOP
Looking at the 2018 Exit Polls three numbers stand out
1. The GOP lead amongst White Voters halved from 20 points (Romney/2012, Trump/2016) to 10 : 54-44%
2. Women turned against the GOP in unpredecended numbers. Democrats won the female vote by 19 points : 59-40%
3. The GOP is not losing Hispanic Voters. 28% voted for Romney and Trump. 28% pulled the GOP lever again this year.
My conclusions are as follows: The Kavanaughs confirmation was every bit as damaging to the GOP with women as it appeared at the time. The GOP won male voters by 51-47%
The Invasion Panic may have cut Republican losses with Whites but it cost them little with Hispanics. I think the reason is clear enough: New immigrants directly compete for the jobs held by Latinos voters.
Finally, the GOTV with minorities was relatively successful (contrary to my earlier post). The proportion of Non White voters at this years midterms 28% matches the last three Presidential elections.
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