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Eyeball_Kid

(7,440 posts)
Tue Mar 27, 2018, 01:30 AM Mar 2018

Here's a crazy-ass prediction: Trumpy's gone in six weeks for six reasons. [View all]

Maybe I'm living in my own carefully designed bubble, but I think something's afoot that's going to take most of us by surprise. Trumpy will leave the White House much sooner than the paid pundits expect. Here are the reasons:

1. Avenatti and Daniels are screwing Trumpy big-time. I don't know who paired these two, but they'e a dynamite team. Avenatti is at the top of his game. Right now. And Daniels is seemingly pushing him to new heights. Both know Trumpy's huge weak spot and they're blowing it wide open.

2. The weak spot? Loss of media exposure. It castrates Trumpy and shrinks him to the size of a prune. This is the strategy to which Avenatti refers when he characterizes his moves as "three-dimensional chess". Trumpy has no way to keep himself in office without constantly owning the narrative and flooding the media with his presence. We all know that he's all flash and no substance, but we didn't calculate that someday or other, his ability to own the media with his personal narrative would collapse. And it has, right now. Without media manipulation, Trumpy can't have tantrums, he can't shout and point, he can't hold events or create controversies or distract from the Mueller investigation. He clearly can't govern, so that's out. What's left is a heap of hair and flesh gulping a diet Coke, plumped in front of a flat screen replaying segments of Fox and Friends. Oh. He's a "friend." And the TV sofa chattlings are likely his only friends.

3. Trumpy can't hire lawyers to defend against Mueller or Daniels/Avenatti. He can't replenish his departed staff. He's trying to bring back banished former staffers, but that's not happening because everyone to whom he talks has to hire an attorney. He may even fire Kelly and be his own Chief of Staff, which will be another rolling disaster. So now he has ONE defense attorney who's sadly overmatched by Mueller and his A team.

4. Trumpy is not following the Roy Cohn Commandment: When attacked, counterattack with ferocity, every time, with overwhelming force, and never admit a mistake. Trumpy is failing because he's not attacking Daniels/Avenatti in the Roy Cohn tradition. Of all the possible symptoms of his demise, this is perhaps the most serious. Daniels and Avenatti have taken away his Cohn-ness. Now Trumpy looks ineffective, weak, cowardly, and sniveling. Melania has symbolically left him to avoid imagining herself as the shamed and smitten wife. He's alone with few confidantes, if any.

5. Left to his own devices, without the media clutching at his every pause, and with an emptied White House staff, Trumpy is barely holding on to any semblance of an ability to govern. He has no agenda of his own, except to keep his base skittish and jumpy: for the next rally, the next bevy of accusations toward his usual suspects, for the next media spin. All of his distractions are losing their spark. He's coming face to face with his enemies: his ignorance, his low self-esteem, his impulsiveness, his narcissism, his cowardice, his lies,... and the Special Prosecutor. And for good measure, let's remember the AG of New York, lurking just behind Mueller.

6. Even Congressional Republicans, all of them Trumpy's equal in the cowardice department, will publicly talk about Trumpy's inability to manage a governing administration. Trumpy is besieged by investigations, lawsuits, a fleeing Administration staff, and an increasing flock of veteran losers as replacements. Trumpy was disillusioned with DiGenova and sent him packing. He'll likely do the same with TV terror John Bolton, whose bloodlust won't go down well with Trumpy's two scoops and chocolate cake. When hiring Bolton proves to be yet another big error, Trumpy's circus tent will begin to fold and he'll look for the most direct escape route out of DC. He'll neglect to feed the lions on the way out.

Pence, who's got his own problems with Flynn and giving him access to classified information, may not be heir to the throne when Trumpy leaves his golden toilet behind. But that's a discussion for another time.



48 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Crazy-ass as hell, Kid, and WELL DONE - I thank you kindly for taking the time to write and Leghorn21 Mar 2018 #1
Welcome. Eyeball_Kid Mar 2018 #2
Nothing less reliable than... lame54 Mar 2018 #3
... or long range forecasts... or this year's World Series winner. Eyeball_Kid Mar 2018 #22
Ok - you got 6 weeks - good luck lame54 Mar 2018 #27
Were I to bet my food expenses on my ability to predict, Eyeball_Kid Mar 2018 #32
I hope you are right but I am, for a long time, done with predictions. rusty quoin Mar 2018 #4
To his people, Trump is now the old jock at the bar that once nailed the town beauty. Midnight Writer Mar 2018 #5
Calling Stormy Daniels the "Town Beauty"....... SergeStorms Mar 2018 #11
The jump in approval ratings is one of the great mysteries of life. Eyeball_Kid Mar 2018 #24
Not really _Kid you already identified it, tRump was dominating the news cycle more than ever njhoneybadger Mar 2018 #44
I still think his stress level might do him in. Wapsie B Mar 2018 #6
Very well thought out, but I don't believe he'll be gone Poiuyt Mar 2018 #7
WOULD be nice, however.......... DFW Mar 2018 #8
Pence has the prototypical look of an undertaker desperate for more bodies. Eyeball_Kid Mar 2018 #34
Ingmar Bergman would have taught him Swedish if he had known him DFW Mar 2018 #38
Pence needs to go first. Really. nt joet67 Mar 2018 #9
Pence is the strongest argument for the GOP to impeach now. Farmer-Rick Mar 2018 #30
Yeah, I like that bubble. byronius Mar 2018 #10
President Pence Raine Mar 2018 #12
Crazy, for sure oberliner Mar 2018 #13
His support is up 6 points in the last month Cosmocat Mar 2018 #14
+1 nitpicker Mar 2018 #15
You have to consider the margins of error...and we know how accurate polls are after 16. Here in Demsrule86 Mar 2018 #19
It isnt only one poll Cosmocat Mar 2018 #23
Trumpy's got a class A shit-show, and most people know it. Eyeball_Kid Mar 2018 #26
that is the rub Cosmocat Mar 2018 #46
Well he is back at 39%. Demsrule86 Mar 2018 #47
Is Trump now hoping that having shittly representation might be grounds for an appeal? TheBlackAdder Mar 2018 #16
There has been an uptick recently in talk about Ryan and the line of succession. cbdo2007 Mar 2018 #17
Ryan has NOTHING to do with the line of succession... brooklynite Mar 2018 #25
I agree exboyfil Mar 2018 #33
Yep that's what you all keep saying...doesnt make it true. cbdo2007 Mar 2018 #41
I hope you are right...very well thought out argument ...excellent post. Demsrule86 Mar 2018 #18
If I had a nickel for every DU post predicting Trump's imminent departure onenote Mar 2018 #20
And I can attest to the fact that I'm NOT a wealthy person by noticing the lint in my pockets. Eyeball_Kid Mar 2018 #31
It's time. kentuck Mar 2018 #21
Nothing about his "approval" ratings jump convinces me. BSdetect Mar 2018 #28
There's also reason #7 Generic Brad Mar 2018 #29
I try to envision the perfect exit for him... kentuck Mar 2018 #35
I agree with some of the OP's points awesomerwb1 Mar 2018 #36
He feels better protected in the White House. kentuck Mar 2018 #37
Yes, and the reps will have no problem awesomerwb1 Mar 2018 #40
Yes, a Trump that picks fights with everyone BUT Stormy Daniels... Orsino Mar 2018 #39
I think it's just as likely we'll be at war in six weeks Fiendish Thingy Mar 2018 #42
6 weeks I doubt. But I think you're dead-on with #2 and #5. The other 4 are ancillary kysrsoze Mar 2018 #43
Here's a crazy-ass prediction: trump stays for 1 reason Javaman Mar 2018 #45
So let it be written; so let it be done! nt Atticus Mar 2018 #48
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