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2. A curious push poll indicates it could be a horse race to the end - GOTV being the factor
Tue Aug 28, 2018, 11:08 AM
Aug 2018
https://gvwire.com/2018/08/14/new-poll-by-democratic-consultant-indicates-janz-could-beat-nunes/

New Poll by Democratic Consultant Indicates Janz Could Beat Nunes

A poll by a San Francisco consulting firm suggests that Fresno County prosecutor Andrew Janz is gaining ground in his challenge of eight-term Republican Devin Nunes of Tulare.

“The poll found a surprisingly competitive contest between Nunes and Janz, with voters sharply divided in their opinions of Congressman Nunes and the race becoming dead even after voters hear more information about both candidates,” a poll summary stated.


Poll Methodology


Tulchin Research conducted what it described as a scientific survey of 400 likely voters in California’s 22nd District from July 22-25. The poll’s margin of error is plus-minus 4.9 percentage points. Tulchin said that interviews were conducted in English and Spanish.

Findings from an initial round of questions indicated the Nunes, a staunch ally of President Donald Trump, would beat Janz by a 48 percent to 43 percent margin in the Nov. 6 election.

But after more questions, which Tulchin said included “both positive and negative information about both candidates,” Janz drew into a dead heat with Nunes at 47 percent each.

“The polling is a direct result of the dedicated volunteers and grassroots supporters we have here on the ground, making this a real fight in CA-22,” Janz said in a statement. “But at the end of the day, the only poll that truly matters is the final vote count on November 6th.”

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https://gvwire.com/2018/08/14/new-poll-by-democratic-consultant-indicates-janz-could-beat-nunes/

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