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brooklynite

(96,882 posts)

6. FiveThirtyEight's model gives him 95% probability

Reply to global1 (Original post)

Tue Aug 28, 2018, 11:53 AM

Aug 2018

I use this race as an example of allowing emotion to blur decision-making on which candidates to support. Everyone hates him, so it's appealing to think of beating him, but there are dozens of competitive races that need your help more.

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Highlight:

What Are Devin Nunes Chances Of Retaining His Seat.... [View all] global1 Aug 2018 OP

With or without Russian help? HopeAgain Aug 2018 #1

A curious push poll indicates it could be a horse race to the end - GOTV being the factor Brother Buzz Aug 2018 #2

It's a deep red district. In the previous midterm, he won by 36 points. bearsfootball516 Aug 2018 #3

Andrew Janz is trying...... FM123 Aug 2018 #4

Probably greater than 90% chance Nunes is re-elected. The district is heavily Republican. LonePirate Aug 2018 #5

FiveThirtyEight's model gives him 95% probability brooklynite Aug 2018 #6

He'll probably win reelection. MineralMan Aug 2018 #7