FL-GOV: What is Gillum's path to victory?

[ehrnst]

6. He did get out the African American vote-

Imagine this: line up every county in Florida by how many of its registered Democrats (at the time of the primary bookclosing) are black. Divide the line into thirds.

The first, least-black third includes counties like Pasco and Sarasota, where most Democrats are white, as well as Osceola, where most are Hispanic. In those counties, Graham beat Gillum by 17 points.
The middle counties, like Brevard, Pinellas and Palm Beach, have a moderate share of black Democrats. There, Graham still won, by nine points.

But in the blackest third of counties, it was a different story. Those counties, where black voters make up more than a quarter of registered Democrats, went overwhelmingly for Gillum. He won by 15 points. And those counties include heavyweights like Hillsborough, Miami-Dade, Broward and Duval. Of the 18 counties Gillum won, 16 were in this group.

https://www.tampabay.com/florida-politics/buzz/2018/08/29/how-the-black-vote-carried-andrew-gillum-to-victory/

He aligned himself with Obama: