Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Showing Original Post only (View all)

Texas Lawyer

(350 posts)
Tue Jan 3, 2012, 03:39 PM Jan 2012

Who got Iowa right among RealClearPolitics, Nate Silver at 538, Pollster, the DM Register, etc.? [View all]

It seems worthwhile to keep track of which pollsters and forecasters are correct and which are all washed up.

Which do you think is correct?

RCP Avg:

22.8% Romney
21.5% Paul
16.3% Santorum
13.7% Gingrich
11.5% Perry
6.8% Bachmann
2.3% Huntsman

538 Projection:

21.8% Romney
21.0% Paul
19.3% Santorum
15.1% Gingrich
10.4% Perry
7.9% Bachmann
3.8% Huntsman

Pollster Avg:

22.4% Romney
21.0% Paul
15.8% Santorum
12.6% Gingrich
11.0% Perry
8.3% Bachmann
3.7% Huntsman

DMR:

24% Romney
22% Paul
15% Santorum
12% Gingrich
11% Perry
7% Bachmann
2% Huntsman

PPP:

20% Paul
19% Romney
18% Santorum
14% Gingrich
10% Perry
8% Bachmann
4% Huntsman

NBC:

23% Romney
21% Paul
15% Santorum
14% Perry
13% Gingrich
6% Bachmann
2% Huntsman

Rasmussen:

23% Romney
22% Paul
16% Santorum
13% Perry
13% Gingrich
5% Bachmann
3% Huntsman

CNN:

25% Romney
22% Paul
16% Santorum
14% Gingrich
11% Perry
9% Bachmann
1% Huntsman

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Who got Iowa right among ...