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DemocratSinceBirth

(101,857 posts)

31. That's why I said it looked as if he was trying to obfuscate the issue.

Reply to Awsi Dooger (Reply #30)

Sun Sep 9, 2018, 09:18 AM

Sep 2018

The generic ballot is an outstanding proxy for the fates of the two major parties in congressional races, i.e. it is very unlikely a party will add seats if they are losing in the generic ballot, and it very unlikely if they will lose seats if they are winning in the generic ballot. One must also take into consideration gerrymandering which mitigates the effect of the generic ballot. However gerrymandering might actually cost Republicans seats in a wave election. Instead of having a Republican +10 district the Republicans created two +5 districts. In a + 8 environment one would have saved one but the gerrymandering led to them losing both.

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***GENERIC BALLOT: DEMOCRATS OPEN 10-POINT ADVANTAGE*** [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 OP

Added this to my twitter profile underthematrix Sep 2018 #1

I will look for Generic on my ballot Sherman A1 Sep 2018 #2

Res ipsa loquitur DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 #3

I will vote in my local election and hope that it is a huge turnout nationwide, but Sherman A1 Sep 2018 #4

Trump won't want to quote this Rassmussen poll n/t Tom Rinaldo Sep 2018 #5

Scott Rasmussen sold the polling company that bears his name a few years ago. DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 #6

We are voting for IMPEACHMENT Generic Other Sep 2018 #7

If Rasmussen Says 10%-it's More like 15% Stallion Sep 2018 #8

"Generic Democrat" would have won the 2016 Presidential election in a landslide oberliner Sep 2018 #9

So you're saying Democrats can't win? Kingofalldems Sep 2018 #10

No. He is not saying that. Not at all. Please read for comprehension what he wrote again. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2018 #12

Didn't ask you. Kingofalldems Sep 2018 #13

If you don't want public comments to public posts, don't post in public. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2018 #14

I do think the poster has added an element of confusion. DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 #19

Looks like the post I responded to was false. Kingofalldems Sep 2018 #21

I don't know. Neither of you have submitted evidence. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2018 #22

So apparently you accepted the post I responded to on face value. Kingofalldems Sep 2018 #23

No. But what you said about it does not follow logically from what the poster wrote. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2018 #24

A generic House ballot is different than a generic presidential ballot. DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 #26

Separate but true. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2018 #28

Sir, you would be incorrect. DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 #16

Great catch. Kingofalldems Sep 2018 #20

My impression of oberliner's post was replace Hillary with "Generic Democrat" in 2016 Awsi Dooger Sep 2018 #30

That's why I said it looked as if he was trying to obfuscate the issue. DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 #31

Well, maybe not a landslide but Hillary did win lunatica Sep 2018 #32

I'm looking forward to all those GENERIC wins. NurseJackie Sep 2018 #11

Res ipsa loquitur (REDUX) DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 #15

Let's make it 20 points! SkyDancer Sep 2018 #17

Let's make the Republican party so small you can flush it down the toilet. DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 #18

That would be a fantastic goal NewJeffCT Sep 2018 #25

And for good measure GWC58 Sep 2018 #27

If Raz is 11 pts, the real number is 15 to 20% KelleyKramer Sep 2018 #29