RealClear Politics House, Senate, Governor forecast analysis: [View all]

[George II]

Looking at the RealClear Politics data today, I saw some interesting (and unfortunately not all totally positive) things.

The House looks great - the current House is 193 Democrats, 235 republicans, 7 vacancies.

According to RCP as of now, Democrats are at 201 Safe, Likely, or Leaning; republicans are at 191 Safe, Likely, or Leaning.

There are 43 they rate as toss ups, but of those there are only TWO currently Democratic toss ups, 41 currently republican toss ups. That's great, even if they break 50/50, that would be 232 Democrats and only 223 republicans, but Democrats should win more than half. We could see Democrats with 240 or more.

The Senate is not as rosy - currently 49 Democrats, 51 (including the now vacant Arizona seat) republicans.

Democrats have 44 Safe, Likely, or Leaning; republicans have 47.

There are 9 toss ups, 5 currently Democratic and 4 currently republican. If they stay the same, we'd remain at 49-51. There's an outside chance Democrats could wind up with a majority.

As far as Governors are concerned, there are 20 Safe, Lean, or Likely Democrats, 22 republicans, and 8 toss ups. BUT, all the toss ups are republican except for Alaska, which is currently Independent. Although it doesn't have any real importance, Democrats could easily wind up with a majority of Governors, too.

All things considered, with the unknown level of trump's negative affect on the election, it could be a very good day in November!