Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

19. New Jersey polling typically understates the Democrat

Reply to Jrsygrl96 (Reply #17)

Tue Oct 2, 2018, 06:25 AM

Oct 2018

Probably the most dependable state in that regard. Actually not too bad in 2016 but Hillary was about 1.5 points above the RCP polling consensus.

Republicans wasted tons of cash for more than a decade by believing overly favorable polls in New Jersey.

I'm not overly worried about a rare state with more liberals (28%) than conservatives (23%) but I have seen others voice frustration about Menendez' commercials and overall campaign.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

27 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

******ND is slipping away from us****** [View all] Legends303 Oct 2018 OP

got a link to the poll? nt msongs Oct 2018 #1

... pbmus Oct 2018 #4

Anything outside the average is an outlier Tiggeroshii Oct 2018 #2

Cramer has been leading for a while ramblin_dave Oct 2018 #3

Wow i had no idea Tiggeroshii Oct 2018 #5

Cramer has been leading for a while. LenaBaby61 Oct 2018 #7

The current Senate forecast on 538 only gives us a 27% chance of retaking it budkin Oct 2018 #6

Recent polling is bad in general Awsi Dooger Oct 2018 #8

I would disagree that losing ND almost garuantees republicans keep the senate standingtall Oct 2018 #9

We are going to win grantcart Oct 2018 #11

We may be getting a moderate Republican either way JonLP24 Oct 2018 #23

it's a very red state JI7 Oct 2018 #10

Once again, 200,000 people will get to decide the make-up of the Senate. nt King_Klonopin Oct 2018 #12

Once again 2naSalit Oct 2018 #14

What exactly am I not getting? Iluminate me with your insight. King_Klonopin Oct 2018 #22

An intuitive grasp of the obvious, eh? LanternWaste Oct 2018 #25

Anyone have the polling in Nevada vsrazdem Oct 2018 #13

Rosen led 47-43 Awsi Dooger Oct 2018 #16

By the way, the Democrats never had Maryland's Governorship. LenaBaby61 Oct 2018 #15

NJ too! Jrsygrl96 Oct 2018 #17

New Jersey polling typically understates the Democrat Awsi Dooger Oct 2018 #19

Remember Alabama MFM008 Oct 2018 #18

Remember the Dem party wouldn't give $1 to a candidate laserhaas Oct 2018 #21

Alabama was an exception to the rule - A pedophile was running on the Republican side. bearsfootball516 Oct 2018 #26

In Utah, Jenny Wilson has little chance laserhaas Oct 2018 #20

It was a miracle she won in the first place...this is a red state. Demsrule86 Oct 2018 #24

It's already gone FBaggins Oct 2018 #27