Why are the Dems doing so well in FL? I have ideas, but can others please enlighten me.

[Awsi Dooger]

34. The New York Times interactive polls are not accurate toward statewide Florida

I'm out of state on vacation and admittedly not paying much attention. But if threads like this source from the huge leads by Scott and Gillum in the ongoing New York Times live polling, people following those polls are simply being suckered and fooled.

Those are not representative numbers...not even close. Once vote totals start coming in on election night the races will be very tight. I don't have to follow polls to understand that. As always I prefer big picture foundational realities over day to day flimsy nonsense. Florida is balanced in ideological terms and Republicans maximize their opportunity with superb voter outreach and overall operations. I know that because I have one sister who is a registered Republican and aunt who switched from Obama to Trump along with changing her registration to Republican. I see the stacks of mailers they receive. They tell me about all the phone calls. I see the waves of Republican volunteers going door to door in my neighborhood every cycle.

That's the reason Republicans have actually gained ground in registration numbers in Florida since November 2016. That should not be possible with a president stuck in mid 30s to low 40s approval throughout. We are very fortunate that Republicans in other states are not as well organized and relentless as in Florida. When I lived in Las Vegas the realities were just the opposite...the Democratic outreach superiority there resembled the GOP advantage in Florida.

For whatever reason those New York Times polls quickly reach pro-blue voters in Florida races. Donna Shalala is my district...FL-27. The first night of New York Times polling recently had her ahead 58-30. That was preposterous. I mentioned on Predictit that the margin was bogus and would tighten. It did, down to Shalala with a 7 point edge at conclusion.

These statewide New York Times interactive polls are similarly picking up too much of a blue slant.