General Discussion

woolldog

(8,791 posts)

27. They're going to do it

Wed Aug 15, 2012, 06:27 PM

Aug 2012

I can't believe it but the GOP is gonna win.

After the convention airwaves are gonna be flooded with negative Obama ads, they're already starting. Romney has a ton more money and has no apparent scruples about telling outright lies. Combine that with the voter suppression in PA and everywhere else, and we're doomed.

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Some new polls in.....Numbers aren't good [View all] woolldog Aug 2012 OP

Purple Strategies, eh? It's owned and run by Alex Castellanos cali Aug 2012 #1

Didn't know that cali. woolldog Aug 2012 #4

wants to make a "purple veined dick joke" about Castellanos but I wont NightWatcher Aug 2012 #34

Should we have heard of the pollster? FBaggins Aug 2012 #2

Then you haven't followed very closely. woolldog Aug 2012 #9

Nate Silver? Not exactly someone we consider to be clean in the polling circles. progressivebydesign Aug 2012 #11

?! What are you talking about? berni_mccoy Aug 2012 #18

What's the issue with Nate Silver, please? GoneOffShore Aug 2012 #24

Wtf are you talking about? Joe the Revelator Aug 2012 #43

Uhhhh, really? Codeine Aug 2012 #44

wtf are you talking about? TeamPooka Aug 2012 #50

L to the fucking OL Capt. Obvious Aug 2012 #79

You've probably seen Alex shilling for all things Repugs on the cable news outlets maddezmom Aug 2012 #14

Didn't Rachel Maddow rip Castellanos a new one on MTP catbyte Aug 2012 #68

This tells me all I need to know about that poll monmouth Aug 2012 #3

meh woolldog Aug 2012 #7

That just tells me they will lie when it counts. I.e. closer to the election. Hassin Bin Sober Aug 2012 #61

All within the margin of Error DearAbby Aug 2012 #5

Positive movement for Obama in two of the four states BeyondGeography Aug 2012 #6

Agreed, it is indeed plausible, I think. AverageJoe90 Aug 2012 #45

Calm Down outsideworld Aug 2012 #8

Actually Nate Silver has been suspect lately, leaning to the right in his analysis, & often wrong nt progressivebydesign Aug 2012 #16

When has he been wrong? ProudToBeBlueInRhody Aug 2012 #29

Can you back up that assertion? Do you have a link? Who finds him "suspect"? myrna minx Aug 2012 #77

I do follow him. woolldog Aug 2012 #22

Who in hell are "Purple Strategies?" MADem Aug 2012 #10

+1 Dawson Leery Aug 2012 #13

Certainly nobody to take that seriously... CabCurious Aug 2012 #87

Freaking a....look at all that Ryan bump going on!!!! n/t Sheepshank Aug 2012 #12

Oh c'mon. progressivebydesign Aug 2012 #15

If Obama can't beat Romney, he shouldn't be in office leftstreet Aug 2012 #17

man, relax it's just one poll. After the GOP convention four years ago McCain led in the polls, too WI_DEM Aug 2012 #20

Just the opposite really FBaggins Aug 2012 #26

you gotta expect some kind of bump with a VP selection and then the convention WI_DEM Aug 2012 #19

Polls will jump all over the place for a while, let it go until after the debates Motown_Johnny Aug 2012 #21

the ONLY poll that matters happens Tuesday ... nt littlewolf Aug 2012 #23

I doubt Ohio grantcart Aug 2012 #25

They're going to do it woolldog Aug 2012 #27

Jesus.....you shoulda just done this in the first post.... ProudToBeBlueInRhody Aug 2012 #28

The only sure way that'll happen...... AverageJoe90 Aug 2012 #46

LOL! Lone_Star_Dem Aug 2012 #49

You're now on my ignore list... Drunken Irishman Aug 2012 #52

I just got here and I'm about to figure out how to put somebody on ignore lol CabCurious Aug 2012 #88

That is you view, however I don't buy that crap, and believe that women, and older people still_one Aug 2012 #57

Try harder. You fool no one here. Ikonoklast Aug 2012 #70

WTF? Cali_Democrat Aug 2012 #71

Thank you for your concern. aquart Aug 2012 #81

I much prefer the steel spine and gritty fortitude... waddirum Aug 2012 #84

5 quick points. aaaaaa5a Aug 2012 #30

Excellent analysis JaneQPublic Aug 2012 #72

these show the complete opposite: demosincebirth Aug 2012 #31

No not really. woolldog Aug 2012 #32

How fresh? It says the 15th ...like right out of the oven. nt. demosincebirth Aug 2012 #35

yes, but woolldog Aug 2012 #37

Then compare these two graphs (current '12 vs complete '08). Amonester Aug 2012 #47

Good point. woolldog Aug 2012 #62

My first guess is, most independent/undecided voters haven't realy paid attention yet. Amonester Aug 2012 #69

I live in Virginia. phylny Aug 2012 #33

Have a lot of friends in northern VA abelenkpe Aug 2012 #67

Oh, that poll...brought to us by Alex "the Shill" Castellanos Jennicut Aug 2012 #36

There's a reason why polling firms do multiple polls over a long period of time. nyquil_man Aug 2012 #38

I honestly LMAOed @ the Hindenburg picture. AverageJoe90 Aug 2012 #53

Polls are meaningless NashvilleLefty Aug 2012 #39

Stop trying to freak people out. Rmoney just picked his VP and what bounce there Egalitarian Thug Aug 2012 #40

And the Ryan factor hasn't shown up in the polls yet. still_one Aug 2012 #58

Jesus! ONE bad poll and you cave? Get Some Perspective! demwing Aug 2012 #41

READ THIS.....take a breath ProudToBeBlueInRhody Aug 2012 #42

And FOX news has Obama up by +9 JaneyVee Aug 2012 #48

And we suspect why: they skew them hoping to energize their base. Amonester Aug 2012 #54

My suspicion... regnaD kciN Aug 2012 #56

don't sweat it. its in the bank. we WIN. Dkc05 Aug 2012 #51

Please. This is total propaganda. These are Murdoch lackies. You will find that the details are push Lint Head Aug 2012 #55

First off, I have no idea who this pollster is. Second, Ryan bump, small and quick. morningfog Aug 2012 #59

This is directly from your link and it is bullshit still_one Aug 2012 #60

Thanks for sharing that. The file is PDF and not supported on my phone. Lone_Star_Dem Aug 2012 #64

All the polls I have seen past and present are very ho hum for Ryan among repugs, and under still_one Aug 2012 #65

You should know better. cherokeeprogressive Aug 2012 #63

Nate's take on these polls: woolldog Aug 2012 #66

look, if you think he's going to lose and can't be convinced otherwise... CreekDog Aug 2012 #73

" This is a below-average “bounce” " LiberalAndProud Aug 2012 #74

You need ProSense Aug 2012 #75

Seems like you shouldn't be panicing then ProudToBeBlueInRhody Aug 2012 #83

Gloom and doom! Gotterdammerung!!!111 greatauntoftriplets Aug 2012 #76

Check out Nate Silvers 538 108vcd Aug 2012 #78

Nate Silver? Not exactly someone we consider to be clean in the polling circles. Capt. Obvious Aug 2012 #80

Interesting ProudToBeBlueInRhody Aug 2012 #82

The guys at Princeton did a good job swatting down Nate Silver... Drunken Irishman Aug 2012 #86

I see DU's favorite concern troll is at it again scheming daemons Aug 2012 #85

Im going to assume this drama is typical from wooldude? CabCurious Aug 2012 #89