General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Post removed [View all]musicblind
(4,563 posts)I don't think he will get the nomination, but we'll see. I'm not saying that because I hate him, I voted for him in the 2016 primary. I'm saying that because it's reality. He is unlikely to get the nomination given the much larger field of candidates we will have this go round.
Votes will be more evenly divided between people like Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Beto O'Rourke, Joe Biden, Tom Steyer, Bernie Sanders and other possible entrants like Stacy Abrams, Kristen Gillibrand, Michael Bloomberg, or even Oprah. There are a lot of people thinking about running, even if they say they aren't at this point. For all we know, it could come down to Stephen King and Robert De Niro. While that would be very very very unlikely, we are so far out from 2020 it is impossible to know anything. There is a good chance our nominee will be someone we've never even heard of.
2020's primary is going to be more like the Republican's 2016 primary. The Democratic 2016 primary had a very small field because it was treated like an incumbent or VP primary. This coming primary will look a lot more like 2004 and/or 2008.
Having more people in the field will make it less likely that Bernie Sanders becomes the nominee. Similar to the "more people in a raffle the less likely you are to win" rule.
But if he becomes the nominee, of course, people on here will support him. He would be the Democratic nominee. Why wouldn't they support him? Not supporting the Democratic nominee is not an acceptable or viable option. Period.