Perry and Bachmann are going to be out real soon. Bachmann's support will mostly go to Ricky, but it's small. Romney will get a decent chunk of the Perry support. Probably not a majority, but some.
Once Huntsman drops out, Romney will get his 1 percent as well 
In a three man race between Romney, Gingrich, and Santorum, the latter two will split the anti-Romney vote and start fighting each other. Romney will slowly start to pull away and chip away at each of them until both are left with nothing but their core supporters. For Ricky, that's the most hardcore evangelicals. For Gingrich, that's nobody.
Paul's kind of a special case because his base is not really traditional Republicans. His support will also dwindle down to his core, which is where it was last time. The fair-weather Paulites that are actually Republicans will probably break more for Romney than anybody else.
There's no way that after all of this, some Deus Ex Machina event happens at the convention. Romney will be the nominee and he'll get the nomination the old fashioned way.
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