Did and Did Not

[Jakes Progress]

71. Your memory for stats is flawed if you don't know what the numbers mean.

The article, one I remember, mentions three surveys including a Rand study about Bernie voters and Hillary. It discusses one survey from the 2008 election, a CCAP study. Please read the whole article and don't just cherry pick a few numbers. Particularly look at how the surveys population samples were identified and what analysis was used including how they eliminated outlier numbers.

The WAPO article itself knows the numbers are useless. You pulled one paragraph to support your headline. (More about that in a minute.) Here is what the article says about the study you reference.

"But again, attach a lot of caveats to that analysis."

About the numbers used, the article itself says:

"There is no way to know whether 12 percent or 6 percent or some other estimate is The Truth, and there are enough differences among these surveys that we cannot easily pinpoint why the numbers differ. So we should take these estimates with some caution."

Did you read the article and its caveats or did you just grab a paragraph to justify something that most know is erroneous?

And about that headline. What the hell did you mean by "2:1"? In your mind is 88% twice 76%?

Hey. You get to think Bernie is America's savior, but it would be good of you to not pull numbers at random and misuse them. I supported Bernie in the early part of his bid, but quickly came to see that he did this kind of thing a lot. His numbers never added up. I loved what he said he stood for. I came to doubt him and his motives. I believe I have been proven right in that doubt.