No, Trump does not "win" if the Senate refises to remove him from office.

[Tom Rinaldo]

10. I envision a potential scenario where Trump is free to stay totally on offense

One in which the hottest congressional hearings in town take place in the Senate where the deep state attempt to take down the president is probed in all of its fact free glory. That is what will fill the media political void if Democrats don't move on impeachment.

Trump chose his political strategy, to feed constant red meat to his base. They live in a fact free zone and will remain in it as long as Trump remains president. He has that 35% of the vote locked up. But you may notice that his approval ratings fluctuate from the mid 30's to the mid 40's. He needs to secure all of those voters in that fluctuating 10% and then some in order to be reelected. Those numbers can and will move against Trump once it is understood that no, AG BARR not withstanding, the actual Mueller Report did not exonerate Trump.