General Discussion

JCMach1

(27,553 posts)

41. Too many variables... Think about a gyroscope top

Sun Sep 1, 2019, 12:45 PM

Sep 2019

Spin a it very fast and try to shift it with your finger. The faster in goes the harder it is to move with your finger. Now, throw in all of your weather variables...

Truth be told we just don't have that much Cat 5 data because it is so rare

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Highlight:

Dorian is now officially a Category 5.. EDIT: 185mph winds! 2nd strongest in Atlantic history [View all] Roland99 Sep 2019 OP

The Bahamas are going to get it bad jpak Sep 2019 #1

Like an EF-4 tornado on the ground for not minutes but for 12-24 hrs Baclava Sep 2019 #44

Looks like flooding in coastal low country will be the worst hazard if.... KY_EnviroGuy Sep 2019 #2

What a monster! kentuck Sep 2019 #3

This thing IS a monster CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 DORIAN CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY Baclava Sep 2019 #17

Broward and PB counties back in cone superpatriotman Sep 2019 #4

ICON, Canadian, and MPAS still have it coming onshore Roland99 Sep 2019 #6

Nuke that Sucker! bucolic_frolic Sep 2019 #5

Let's face it... SergeStorms Sep 2019 #8

Don't give that jerk bdamomma Sep 2019 #59

... trusty elf Sep 2019 #10

Fixed! Newest Reality Sep 2019 #27

If it skirts the coast going north the damage will be massive The Blue Flower Sep 2019 #7

We shoulda put God back in schools.......... lastlib Sep 2019 #12

Put GOD back in our churches, and stop mistreating kids. nt NCjack Sep 2019 #15

Matthew caused about $ 5 billion in damages. CentralMass Sep 2019 #23

ECM shifting a bit more west in 20-25% of runs Roland99 Sep 2019 #9

The Bahama's will never be the same...it will be much worse than Puerto Rico. patphil Sep 2019 #11

I agree!! I just pray there are no fatalities and that the people are mfcorey1 Sep 2019 #13

The storm surge is predicted to be 18 (or more) feet crazytown Sep 2019 #18

My wonderings Delphinus Sep 2019 #47

Hurricane Ike '08 had 145 mph at my home. Scary as hell, too. flying_wahini Sep 2019 #14

Hurricane Ike had 80 mph sustained winds luvs2sing Sep 2019 #51

My favorite site for information... Sancho Sep 2019 #16

Thank you for sharing that link. StarryNite Sep 2019 #30

"Should be a cat 6". Wind gusts to 200mph so far. Cetacea Sep 2019 #19

Max sustained: 180mph. Strong F3 tornado, what, 20-30 miles wide?! Roland99 Sep 2019 #20

Yes. And it's just entered warm waters. Cetacea Sep 2019 #21

And it's warm deeper. No colder water to upwell. Gusts higher up hitting 224!! Roland99 Sep 2019 #22

The SS scale isn't mathematical like the Beaufort/Fujita/Mach scales sir pball Sep 2019 #53

Thank you n/t Cetacea Sep 2019 #60

What a beast CentralMass Sep 2019 #24

Pressure has now dropped to 913mb malaise Sep 2019 #25

913 !!!!!!!! pangaia Sep 2019 #26

From the WP malaise Sep 2019 #28

906-908mb now! Roland99 Sep 2019 #38

Frightening malaise Sep 2019 #42

That is in Hurricane Camille territory, better hope that 90 degree turn north timing is accurate Baclava Sep 2019 #46

Local 10 Florida is now saying strongest hurricane ever recorded malaise Sep 2019 #49

I'm gonna need a citation on that sir pball Sep 2019 #52

And still moving westerly. If it doesn't turn north by Freeport... Roland99 Sep 2019 #29

Looks like it is going right through malaise Sep 2019 #31

I know what I would be doing. kentuck Sep 2019 #32

I would have been in Miami-Dade by now malaise Sep 2019 #33

What if it doesn't turn north ? kentuck Sep 2019 #34

Will eventually make a turn north. When and where is a world of difference Roland99 Sep 2019 #39

Even if it doesn't turn to the North malaise Sep 2019 #43

Would go West from South Florida over to Sarasota JCMach1 Sep 2019 #37

Serious doubts about how the models account for storms this strong JCMach1 Sep 2019 #35

And some think it undervalues the strength of the high pressure ridge Roland99 Sep 2019 #36

Too many variables... Think about a gyroscope top JCMach1 Sep 2019 #41

For real ! kentuck Sep 2019 #40

That's my real fear malaise Sep 2019 #45

Some may remember Andrew was predicted to turn north too, never happened Baclava Sep 2019 #50

185mph sustained Roland99 Sep 2019 #48

... Scurrilous Sep 2019 #54

Gusts to 220mph now JCMach1 Sep 2019 #55

Someone on weather channel said winds reported at 191 mph. Sustained or not? triron Sep 2019 #56

7 mph west is not as slow as they were predicting JCMach1 Sep 2019 #57

It's 5mph now Roland99 Sep 2019 #58