General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Do you think this Iran attack will help Trump win again in 2020? [View all]kurtcagle
(1,603 posts)There's no American causus belli here, and frankly its rather embarrassingly obvious that this was done at Trump's behest (and likely bypassing the Joint Chiefs of Staff). Moreover, a war with Iran will give the Iranians an excuse to put a stranglehold on the Straits of Hormuz, which will send oil prices skyrocketing. Most Europeans do not support the US sanctions on Iran to begin with, but they're really not going to be happy with a pitched battle in the gulf.
What's more, with the US occupied in the Middle East, it draws troops out of NATO, which gives Putin a chance to invade the Baltic States, complete its takeover of the Ukraine and at a minimum re-establish the old USSR borders. It gives China an opportunity to flex its muscles in aid of its ally, Iran, and likely will result in the reoccupation of Taiwan. Finally, in the confusion, all of the other dominos, such as North Korea invading South Korea, will begin to fall as well. This will all happen quickly, within months.
Happy 2020!