I expect that everyone in the country knows if they want Trump again or not. [View all]

[Kablooie]

I doubt that the campaigns will change anyone's allegiance.
That means the next president depends on turnout, not changing minds.

Whichever side is the most anxious about the future will probably turnout in the biggest numbers.
In the last election Trump terrified his base with fairy tales of evil monsters rampaging the countryside so they swarmed the polls.
Hillary supporters confidently Assumed she would win so many didn't show up.

I expect that our side is pretty scared for the future this time so Based on this metric it would appear we would be in good shape.
But expect Trump to come up with some new horror to scare his people to the polls too.

It will all depend on turnout.