The mortality rate of 2% for 327.2 million people is over 6.5 million.

[lapfog_1]

11. It depends greatly on age.

In the list of reported cases (john hopkins stats)... do you know how many under the age of 10 have died from corona virus - COVID19? maybe 100... maybe 200...

Nope... ZERO. That's right, 80,000 confirmed cases, with many children in that population, and none of them have died.

Over 60 with a pre-existing condition, especially something with the lungs... and you are looking at a fatality rate of 13 or 14 percent.

Overall... the actual now calculated fatality rate is 8.37 percent based on the outcomes of 33,081 confirmed cases who have either recovered or died.

That rate is likely to decline once the outcomes of another 77,000 cases are resolved. But it is likely higher than the original estimate of 2 or 2.5 percent.

327M people in the US are unlikely to be infected... even if it becomes a world wide pandemic.

but if 60% of us do become infected... or 196M... and the fatality rate remains 6%...

That is still 11,700,000 of us.

One bit of good news from the last 3 days... the rate of new confirmed infections does NOT exceed the rate of outcomes (survive and are clear of the virus or died)... meaning that today there are fewer people infected than there were 3 days ago. That is good... but there is a big IF that goes with it... IF the trend continues. OTOH, places like Iran might (if they actually report the truth) explode with new cases... or there may be even new "hot spots".