Exponential growth - I think we are there. [View all]
The data at https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en is pretty stark.
We are at 2969 cases - an increase of 658 today alone.
On March 1, 91 cases, 20 new
March 5, 236/75
March 10, 1040/289
today March 14 2969/658
If we are on the pathway to the Italian experience with this - Italy has 350 cases per million people - probably due to totally inadequate or non existent testing, we are only at 8.5 cases per million people. The shit may be just beginning to hit the fan.
A bit more analysis - Italy went from 80 (Feb 22) to 250 (Feb 24) to 1000 (Feb 29) to 3000 (March 4) - 10000 (March 10) to 21000 (March 14) - to use numbers similar to ours so far.
2 days - 5 days - 4 days to go from 80 to 3000 - Italy
4 days - 5 days - 4 days to go from 90 to 3000 - US - eerily similar. This means we may be at 10,000 in 6 days (March 20), AND AT 20000 by March 24, if the same patterns hold.
= new reply since forum marked as read