Trumps scoreboard mentality- he is losing

[pat_k]

7. Tragically, there are nations that will probably suffer even more deaths per capita than the US

Our population is about 5.5 times that of Italy. Italy has already suffered over 10,000 deaths. Tragically, Italy will see more death before they reach the end of this. If we assume they are at, or near, the "apex" of the curve, they are likely to lose as many people on the "downward side" as they did on the "upward side," or total of 20,000 loves ones lost (equivalent to 110,000 loves ones lost here).

If the effect of strong social distancing and precautions keeps numbers here within the currently projected range of about 40,0000 to 160,000, the US is not going to be the world's example of the worst outcome. It is even possible that heroic efforts on the part of some states could keep the numbers on the low end -- and may we ALL hope that is still possible.

However things play out, the fact is, we SHOULD have served as an example of the BEST management, or at least be up there near the top of the list when all is said and done. We know that will not be the case.

I want to know what the projections would be if we had acted as soon as there was a test on 1/13, if things had played out as they could have/should have, I think the 7 weeks of obstruction and incompetence is going to cost tens of thousands of lives, but right now, I have nothing to base that on because I haven't seen any projections of "what could have been" if our government had done the right thing.