Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

UncleNoel

(864 posts)

2. I don' understand 538s figures. 538: 44.0 to 52.1. I get 43 to 54 (rounded)

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Sat Apr 18, 2020, 10:10 AM

Apr 2020

Below on the link of this thread see below. If you average the figures for their polls given bot6h actual and adjusted it seems to come up different than from the graph--at least for the polls given.

My averages below their five polls.

Have I gone astray. I get about 1 point lower and 2 points higher for a span of 11 rather than their spanof 8.

So it would seem that Trump is even worst off than their figures. Where have I gone wrong?

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

4 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Where's muh crisis bump that every president since Washington got? [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2020 OP

Nature underpants Apr 2020 #1

I don' understand 538s figures. 538: 44.0 to 52.1. I get 43 to 54 (rounded) UncleNoel Apr 2020 #2

Nate's formula is complex. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2020 #3

I Read His How We Do It Piece ProfessorGAC Apr 2020 #4