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NickB79

(20,412 posts)

11. The curve has hit a plateau, and will likely stay there for some time

Reply to shockey80 (Original post)

Sun Apr 26, 2020, 10:36 AM

Apr 2020

I knew the IHME estimate of 60,000 dead was complete bullshit the moment I saw them using a bell curve. No one seriously thinks we'll get to zero deaths even under a best case scenario, yet there it was on that crap graph.

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At this rate there will 100,000 deaths by June???? [View all] shockey80 Apr 2020 OP

Probably more. ...nt 2naSalit Apr 2020 #1

Donald Trump's murder math: Any death toll under 2 million is a "very good job" dalton99a Apr 2020 #2

But he set up 100,000 as he benchmark for a huge success. Baitball Blogger Apr 2020 #17

Yes I think that is the course we are on... The nation is in crises jimlup Apr 2020 #3

Four months in and it's still hard to get a test, and PPE is still scarce. Squinch Apr 2020 #19

Because Jared confiscates and sells it. milestogo Apr 2020 #22

It will be higher.😔 dewsgirl Apr 2020 #4

it was only a week or 10 days ago or so........ Takket Apr 2020 #5

I have been scratching my head for over three years. shockey80 Apr 2020 #6

US population of 331 mil is 4.2% of 7.8 billion on the planet Jarqui Apr 2020 #7

There are lies, damned lies, and government statistics RainCaster Apr 2020 #20

Yep. Squinch Apr 2020 #8

It will be 54,000 by tonight malaise Apr 2020 #9

Death rate is declining slightly, but hard to tell if trend. Case load def declining. Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2020 #10

Yes, the death rate is declining Chainfire Apr 2020 #14

New Brunswick here has 0 new cases 7 days running so is relaxing a bit. We'll see about Red Hatters. Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2020 #15

The overall death rate is declining in the US, but there are areas of the US where the Squinch Apr 2020 #18

Yup. Lumpy, one size does not fit all. Plus Florida seems to be under by counting state lab only. nt Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2020 #21

Yes. Aren't they slick? Like we're not going to notice when the death rate jumps. Squinch Apr 2020 #23

The curve has hit a plateau, and will likely stay there for some time NickB79 Apr 2020 #11

Already over 54,000 USA deaths this morning. Check Worldometer percentages of deaths txwhitedove Apr 2020 #12

We're Now Up to 54,331 Deaths as of 11:00 AM EST 4/26/2020 Indykatie Apr 2020 #13

Trump said if 100,000 die maybe a little more he would have doc03 Apr 2020 #16