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kcr

(15,522 posts)

32. The evidence regarding Perot was taken from exit polls

Reply to pnwmom (Reply #31)

Wed Apr 29, 2020, 05:46 PM

Apr 2020

Which aren't reliable. Perot didn't run a campaign to appeal to Dems. He clearly ran a campaign to appeal to voters dissatisfied with the incumbent and the status quo. And Bush lost.

There is no way that Amash will somehow manage to campaign as successfully as Perot, AND Trump will see success where Bush didn't, especially given how awfully he's doing. Both of those things will not happen

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Justin Amash will INCREASE the chance of Trump's being elected [View all] pnwmom Apr 2020 OP

Justin Amash will DECREASE the chance of Trump's being elected Johnny2X2X Apr 2020 #1

I think your scenario is most likely. SWBTATTReg Apr 2020 #3

I agree with you. Dems will only vote for Dems mainer Apr 2020 #7

Yep. I don't think the OP thought this through. (nt) stopdiggin Apr 2020 #15

No he won't. He's an insignificant little nobody, that won't get a damn vote. NT... SWBTATTReg Apr 2020 #2

K & R 50 Shades Of Blue Apr 2020 #4

I cannot envision small-government libertarians voting for Joe Biden anyway Cirque du So-What Apr 2020 #5

Amash only has to affect a couple key States to accomplish what he's been called to do. Budi Apr 2020 #6

If he takes votes out of the bucket you describe, it's about as good as a vote for Biden. tritsofme Apr 2020 #8

Amash needs to get his ego in gear and get out of the way. He is not leading. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2020 #9

STFU about being re-elected please, it's as ridiculous as it gets.... Brainfodder Apr 2020 #10

I can't imagine Amash, a conservative Freedom Caucus Republican, will peel off many Biden votes. sop Apr 2020 #11

I would just point out that exits polls at the time found Perot voters spitting roughly evenly tritsofme Apr 2020 #14

Did Perot cost Bush the '92 election? It's not clear. I've read differing opinions on the subject, sop Apr 2020 #18

that is not the way third parties work. Voltaire2 Apr 2020 #12

He hurts Biden in Michigan DetroitLegalBeagle Apr 2020 #13

simply don't believe it. stopdiggin Apr 2020 #16

The polls show Biden up by 10 or more in safeinOhio Apr 2020 #19

Then I guess we better get to convincing voters Joe is the right choice Jake Stern Apr 2020 #17

He will have less impact than sexism did in 2016. SoonerPride Apr 2020 #20

That is backwards kcr Apr 2020 #21

He could easily take votes from centrists who aren't strongly attached to either party pnwmom Apr 2020 #23

Really. He's a big nothingberger. kcr Apr 2020 #24

That's what people thought about Ross Perot before he began his 3rd party run. nt pnwmom Apr 2020 #25

And guess who lost that one n/t kcr Apr 2020 #26

So? The point is he took votes away from both candidates even though pnwmom Apr 2020 #31

The evidence regarding Perot was taken from exit polls kcr Apr 2020 #32

Watching him now on MSNBC, he's a douchebag full of platitudes n/t blitzen Apr 2020 #22

He's The Biggest Threat To... ProfessorGAC Apr 2020 #27

This morning the pundits said trump campaign Ilsa Apr 2020 #28

I don't buy it. He's too far to the right. JustABozoOnThisBus Apr 2020 #29

Just curious, is Bill Weld still in the running? smirkymonkey Apr 2020 #30

People looking for excuses not to vote for Democrats will never vote for them. RhodeIslandOne Apr 2020 #33