General Discussion

ProfessorGAC

(76,190 posts)

5. The Constant Reporting Of The Floor...

Tue May 5, 2020, 05:43 AM

May 2020

...was also an issue.
When they dropped it from 66,000 to 60,000, the median of the model was 84,000 with a forced ceiling of 108,000.
If we looked the the model, the floor had an upward slope until early August. The media barely had a slope and the ceiling was flat for at least 6 weeks.
So, the model was, in fact, flawed to some marked degree but the consistent public release of only the floor value was deceiving.

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Andy Slavitt: We've been lied to about the potential death toll in this country & it matters [View all] FreeState May 2020 OP

The model was clear. It was explicit. Igel May 2020 #1

The Constant Reporting Of The Floor... ProfessorGAC May 2020 #5

The fact that we have exceeded that prediction makes debate moot. Ford_Prefect May 2020 #2

+100 abqtommy May 2020 #6

Nothing BUT misreading models exist as long as nationwide surveillance testing is not done. ancianita May 2020 #3

K&R, IHME assumptions beyond asinine and the new one is too assuming we'll have "testing" that's ... uponit7771 May 2020 #4

K&R Roland99 May 2020 #7