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ThoughtCriminal

(14,047 posts)

9. A model that has consistently underestimated deaths

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Tue May 12, 2020, 05:56 PM

May 2020

Although it has been re-forecasting higher estimates since some states started to re-open, the IHME projections have consistently under-estimated the number of deaths in the United States. I suspect that is the main reason that the WH keeps using it.

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Breaking on CNN -projections from the model touted by the WH [View all] malaise May 2020 OP

A+ Stallion May 2020 #1

. applegrove May 2020 #2

K&R, ... and that's with adequate testing in place TODAY uponit7771 May 2020 #3

A LOT of deaths are not being reported. ananda May 2020 #4

Fauci said so today malaise May 2020 #5

Trump didn't like that recent model he claimed didn't factor in mitigation. He was lying or brewens May 2020 #13

That's what he does. ananda May 2020 #20

One death is too many, a million tears are not enough... abqtommy May 2020 #6

Vietnam X 2 in about 1/20th the amount of time. nt Quixote1818 May 2020 #7

my wager remain 1m, and likely by the 4th of july. mopinko May 2020 #8

That seems way high for that timeframe. Blue_true May 2020 #17

happy to take your wager. mopinko May 2020 #19

A model that has consistently underestimated deaths ThoughtCriminal May 2020 #9

Hell, the rate the deaths are going . .. Iliyah May 2020 #10

... Lucinda May 2020 #11

time for him to get the Sharpie out mnmoderatedem May 2020 #12

The model was an interesting failed idea Loki Liesmith May 2020 #14

: onecaliberal May 2020 #15

And somehow the idiotically inept WH thinks 147,000 deaths by then... brush May 2020 #16

The Upper End Of The Projection Is 227,000 ProfessorGAC May 2020 #18