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General Discussion

ProfessorGAC

(65,019 posts)

10. I Checked It Yesterday

Reply to SoonerPride (Original post)

Wed May 13, 2020, 07:38 AM

May 2020

The upper end of the prediction interval was about 243,000.
The lower end, around 113,000.
So, your 250k isn't unrealistic.

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CNN reports IHME model increases fatality forecast to 147,000 by Aug 4 [View all] SoonerPride May 2020 OP

That model has been a mess the whole time. Nt USALiberal May 2020 #1

oh yes I know, it is useless, except it is "official" model touted by the WH SoonerPride May 2020 #3

I agree! Nt USALiberal May 2020 #4

And somehow the idiotically inept WH thinks 147,000 deaths by then... brush May 2020 #6

K&R, IHME assumptions beyond asinine and the new one is too assuming we'll have "testing" that's ... uponit7771 May 2020 #2

Yes. Their assumptions are just stupid SoonerPride May 2020 #5

I think the issues with most models and particularly this one drray23 May 2020 #7

I agree. I think enough people are ignoring warnings SoonerPride May 2020 #9

We will likely hit that by the first week of July. nt Blue_true May 2020 #8

I Checked It Yesterday ProfessorGAC May 2020 #10

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»CNN reports IHME model in...»Reply #10