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kurtcagle

(2,634 posts)

5. Look at the two sets of stats together, however

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Thu Jun 18, 2020, 10:25 PM

Jun 2020

I like Biden a lot, but I'd definitely say that there were very few Democrats I wouldn't have rallied for if it meant getting rid of Trump. A 33% Biden fear factor is extraordinarily low, as I suspect that Clinton was probably closer to 60% of a fear factor for Trump supporters.

Yes, the framing by Fox is irritating, but these numbers are still bad news for Trump, but it also means only about 23% of the sample population are actually enthusiastic about Trump. The remaining 12% (in the Trump camp primarily because they're afraid of what Biden would bring) can be converted. I'm also expecting independents to break about 70/30 for Biden.

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Highlight:

Biden Opens Big Lead Nationally (Fox poll hahaha!) [View all] applegrove Jun 2020 OP

Fear is a great motivator Dream Girl Jun 2020 #1

I wouldn't put it past Fux News Devilsun Jun 2020 #2

That maybe true but there are LOTS of pollsters averaging polls and they look similar Thekaspervote Jun 2020 #4

Meaningless, we always get pulled in by the eye candy numbers that don't matter. Swing states matter uponit7771 Jun 2020 #3

Look at the two sets of stats together, however kurtcagle Jun 2020 #5

Fear is a VERY big factor - look how it flipped Lindsey Graham. Talitha Jun 2020 #6