Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Terry_M

(817 posts)

3. depends on where they go back to

Reply to soothsayer (Reply #2)

Fri Jun 19, 2020, 10:22 AM

Jun 2020

if they go back to a place where R0 is well below 1 (due to local measures, population density) then 10 people spread it to 6 and those 6 spread it to 4 and it goes away. If they bring it back to one of the areas in Florida that is going in the wrong direction, then the 10 get it to 20 and those 20 get it to 40 and after 3 months there's an extra 1k cases caused by the rally down in Florida.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

4 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

March super spreader event in VT! 3200 fans. How will Tulsa go? [View all] jmg257 Jun 2020 OP

Probably something in between this and the protests Terry_M Jun 2020 #1

But a few extra hundred cases that take it home soothsayer Jun 2020 #2

depends on where they go back to Terry_M Jun 2020 #3

Hmmmm, Looks like VT most likely wasn't infected like TOK too. Tulsa is going to be a crap show uponit7771 Jun 2020 #4