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dsc

(53,343 posts)
12. We have two Koch brother funded groups
Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:48 AM
Jun 2020

and they each commissioned a poll that is in that average. I think Democrats will sweep the big three offices (governor, senate, president) but the last two will be narrow wins. Cooper should win going away but the other two races will almost certainly be close. This will be a slightly different version of 2008. In 2008, we won the senate seat in a rout, the governor's race in a narrow win, and the electoral votes in a win narrow enough that it would have qualified for a recount if the overall race had been close enough for those EV to matter. This time Cooper will win, quite possibly by double digits, Cunningham will likely have the narrow but clear win, and Biden a fairly narrow win even possibly a recount type win.

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What, did the pollster exclude Research Triangle in NC altogether? hlthe2b Jun 2020 #1
We have two Koch brother funded groups dsc Jun 2020 #12
Michigan is pretty much off the table for trump going forward and looks like beachbumbob Jun 2020 #2
Texas is also weak for Trump... if it goes for Biden, Trump has no chance. berni_mccoy Jun 2020 #3
not impossible for Biden to win Texas, be better chance had O'Rourke set aside his ego and went beachbumbob Jun 2020 #4
FL Johnny2X2X Jun 2020 #6
+100 Florida is a leading indicator. If Florida turns blue, it's game over. SKKY Jun 2020 #15
What's puzzling about Arizona is that Dem Mark Kelly leads Martha McSally Mike 03 Jun 2020 #5
Don't worry - Trump's super-spreader rally yesterday will kill off some more MAGATs. lagomorph777 Jun 2020 #10
Arizona voters are very independent JonLP24 Jun 2020 #11
Trump supporters hate McSally too. RhodeIslandOne Jun 2020 #25
Trump will NOT take losing well.... ProudMNDemocrat Jun 2020 #7
I wouldn't be surprised durablend Jun 2020 #8
All battleground states? Buckeye_Democrat Jun 2020 #9
Leaving NV out is strange dsc Jun 2020 #13
I'm not sure about that. I'd definitely bet on Ohio... Buckeye_Democrat Jun 2020 #14
Not sure NV qualifies as a "swing" state... Wounded Bear Jun 2020 #18
It was one of Hillary's narrowest wins dsc Jun 2020 #20
Yeah, I'm hoping NC is right behind NV on the "swinging left" column... Wounded Bear Jun 2020 #21
I think the Cooper landslide is likely to help pull both Cunningham and Biden across the finish line dsc Jun 2020 #22
Snagging that Senate seat would go a long way... Wounded Bear Jun 2020 #24
Tillis has shown himself to be a spinless weasel dsc Jun 2020 #26
As RCP calls them... not my categorization. berni_mccoy Jun 2020 #16
No problem! Buckeye_Democrat Jun 2020 #19
RCP has NV listed at Biden +4.0 (MoE: 3.2) berni_mccoy Jun 2020 #17
You have to like that Trump's path to 270 is actually shrinking... Wounded Bear Jun 2020 #23
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»June 24th, 2020: Biden Le...»Reply #12