General Discussion

csziggy

(34,189 posts)

38. 9% is a pretty good number in my opinion

Wed Jul 1, 2020, 09:38 PM

Jul 2020

I was given a 10% chance of dying for the operation to replace my aortic valve and here I am. Surviving the removal of a kidney a moth later had a 20% chance of survival, partly because of the operation, partly the closeness of the two operations, and long term the chance that the cancer would recur - it's been three years and it is not back.

I'll take 9% as a quite acceptable figure.

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The Economist: Biden has 91% chance of winning electoral college, 99% chance of winning popular vote [View all] highplainsdem Jul 2020 OP

BYEDON malaise Jul 2020 #1

Popular vote yes edhopper Jul 2020 #2

That is the first thing I keep trying to get people to understand. Doreen Jul 2020 #8

On steroids edhopper Jul 2020 #11

It never looked this good in 2016. Demsrule86 Jul 2020 #41

(1) Hatch then (2) Count struggle4progress Jul 2020 #3

Yeah, well, I'm still working hard to GOTV. sop Jul 2020 #4

I'm hoping this will be a watershed election, LuvNewcastle Jul 2020 #5

Wow, calling OH, GA, and TX to flip is a gutsy call... Wounded Bear Jul 2020 #6

Biden would need to win nationally by 8+ points to pull those states Awsi Dooger Jul 2020 #13

That's one simulation shown. TX still red DrToast Jul 2020 #24

Make sure you are encouraging everyone to GOTV!!! OrlandoDem2 Jul 2020 #7

9% is a big number Blecht Jul 2020 #9

9% is a pretty good number in my opinion csziggy Jul 2020 #38

We're tryna turn purple! 2naSalit Jul 2020 #10

where? the US as a whole or a particular state? onetexan Jul 2020 #32

My state... 2naSalit Jul 2020 #35

Ditto here - TX Dems may win the House this year :) onetexan Jul 2020 #36

Good news, but DON'T GET COMPLACENT! VOTE! tinrobot Jul 2020 #12

Indeed! nt Wounded Bear Jul 2020 #15

Hillary was going to win, too, nobody better fucking get complacent (n/t) Spider Jerusalem Jul 2020 #14

She works have without Comey. JI7 Jul 2020 #30

K&R for visibility. crickets Jul 2020 #16

GOTV, my friends. muntrv Jul 2020 #17

Putin just fixed his re-election until 2036 so now he can focus on ours. BigmanPigman Jul 2020 #18

Trump will do the same thing Kaiserguy Jul 2020 #19

In other words 2016 redux. BigmanPigman Jul 2020 #22

I remember seeing the same thing with Hillary. Pepsidog Jul 2020 #20

There is no James Comey this time. And people don't trust William Barr anymore. StevieM Jul 2020 #27

When I read that Comey re-opened the investigation it was a gut punch. Pepsidog Jul 2020 #39

I'd rather have 99% o the electoral college and 91% on popular vote. sinkingfeeling Jul 2020 #21

There's one way that can happen Awsi Dooger Jul 2020 #23

With the influx of out-of-state transplanters here i wouldn't doubt it onetexan Jul 2020 #33

Still a long way away Awsi Dooger Jul 2020 #40

Repeat - Don't get complacent Hip2bSquare Jul 2020 #25

+1 K&R - vote since our lives depends on it! onetexan Jul 2020 #34

Feels like I've heard this somewhere before. Calista241 Jul 2020 #26

As I wrote above, there is no James Comey this time. StevieM Jul 2020 #28

Throw in an extra electoral vote from Nebraska and this sounds about right. (eom) StevieM Jul 2020 #29

They were dead on about Biden's support in the primary. Scurrilous Jul 2020 #31

We still need to get out and vote. sakabatou Jul 2020 #37

long way to go rockfordfile Jul 2020 #42

K&R smirkymonkey Jul 2020 #43

K&R Tarheel_Dem Jul 2020 #44