Dr Birx told Trump in April that the coronavirus would soon be gone

[Hortensis]

17. "Dr. Birx was more central than publicly known to the

judgment inside the West Wing that the virus was on a downward path. Colleagues described her as dedicated to public health and working herself to exhaustion to get the data right.

But her model-based assessment nonetheless failed to account for a vital variable: how Mr. Trump’s rush to urge a return to normal would help undercut the social distancing and other measures that were holding down the numbers."

While attempting to feed TrumpCo sugar-coated information that wouldn't be flat spat out, she didn't adequately account for the effect her one-soft-peddling-voice-among-20,000-alarm-sounders would have on Trump's decisions to completely ignore her advice and thus on the consequent disease course. Trump's determination to completely REFUSE to address the pandemic, only demonstrated over time, was not a factor plugged into her model.