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Cicada

(4,533 posts)

17. Betting markets have a track record

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 31, 2020, 01:33 AM

Aug 2020

Polls can be wrong. So can betting markets. But both have some accuracy, in the past.

538 Model probably has some accuracy. Same with the Economist model.

I would take the average of all of them.

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OMG! Biden is TANKING in the betting markets! [View all] brooklynite Aug 2020 OP

Just because someone has money, doesn't make them smart. cos dem Aug 2020 #1

Eh... February 14??? What makes this relevant? n/t Eyeball_Kid Aug 2020 #2

It's a shot at me. I posted that Biden was tanking in the betting markets... Drunken Irishman Aug 2020 #8

I totally got what you were saying, especially since R B Garr Aug 2020 #15

rioting (vs protests) does help Trump. Full stop. stopdiggin Aug 2020 #18

PredictIt was fairly accurate for the primaries JonLP24 Aug 2020 #3

Now do one on all the threads here insisting Trump was going to resign Awsi Dooger Aug 2020 #4

malaise still believes he's going to resign Polybius Aug 2020 #9

Many moons ago they used to have a person on the financial networks I believe his name was still_one Aug 2020 #5

One gambler can push the numbers with one big bet. sarcasmo Aug 2020 #6

Whatever it is, please stop smoking it. awesomerwb1 Aug 2020 #7

Yup... agingdem Aug 2020 #12

Betting markets BGBD Aug 2020 #10

Ha! Thx for posting. I saw that article. If you look back at the history of betting markets they Thekaspervote Aug 2020 #11

It's starting to move back in the other direction, now DavidDvorkin Aug 2020 #13

My bet is that if Trump wins Dan Aug 2020 #14

Saying betting markets are an insight into elections Sogo Aug 2020 #16

Betting markets have a track record Cicada Aug 2020 #17

Nothing matters MFM008 Aug 2020 #19