High turnout by Trump's base won't be enough to get him re-elected: analyst [View all]

[catbyte]

September 6, 2020

By Tom Boggioni

According to an analysis provided to the Washington Post, even if Donald Trump’s fanbase turns out in high numbers in November, that might not be enough for him to be re-elected.

Writing for the Post, Robert Griffin of the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group. claims the numbers don’t work out for the embattled president if he can’t expand his pool of potential voters.

Stating that the lead that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has over Trump has remained remarkably stable, Griffin wrote that those in the president’s camp who state turnout will be the key to his re-election are fooling themselves.

snip

“History tells us that it is unusual to see a substantial increase in turnout for just one specific group. Voters live in shared political environments that shape perceptions about an election’s importance. As such, it’s more common to see turnouts among different groups rise and fall together,” he explained. “Take the 2016 election. While the turnout rate of White voters without college degrees did go up by about three percentage points compared with 2012 — and this group disproportionately supported Trump — the increase was not far from the two-percentage-point rise among Hispanic, Asian and White college-educated voters.”

snip

https://www.rawstory.com/2020/09/high-turnout-by-trumps-base-wont-be-enough-to-get-him-re-elected-analyst/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/turnout-base-swing-voters-polling-trump/2020/09/03/2833ff94-ed59-11ea-99a1-71343d03bc29_story.html