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Botany

(77,535 posts)
3. FYI / The US coronavirus death toll is projected to reach 410,000 in the next four months
Tue Sep 8, 2020, 10:26 AM
Sep 2020

We have no cure and we have no vaccine.


The US coronavirus death toll is projected to reach 410,000 in the next four months
(BTW American war dead in WW II was 406,000)

Source: CNN

(CNN)A new model often cited by top health officials raised its projections Friday, predicting over 410,000 coronavirus deaths nationwide by January 1.

That would mean an additional 224,000 Americans lost in the next four months -- more than double the 186,000 deaths reported by Johns Hopkins University.

The model from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation points to declining mask use in some regions from a peak in usage in early August. The scenarios in the model suggest 122,000 of those lives could be saved with near-universal mask use. It also warns the death toll could be much higher -- over 620,000 -- if all restrictions are eased.

"If a herd immunity strategy is pursued, meaning no further government intervention is taken from now to Jan 1st, the death toll could increase to 620,000,"

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/04/health/us-coronavirus-friday/index.html

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

I regret that I must agree. Laelth Sep 2020 #1
Yes, a "bad bug" indeed. MineralMan Sep 2020 #4
I remember you were far more accurate than those arguing against dewsgirl Sep 2020 #2
FYI / The US coronavirus death toll is projected to reach 410,000 in the next four months Botany Sep 2020 #3
Very sobering predictions. MineralMan Sep 2020 #8
I hate that I have to agree that you are right obamanut2012 Sep 2020 #5
Why 10 years, why not forever like the flu? Beringia Sep 2020 #6
Really, there is no real reason why not. MineralMan Sep 2020 #9
Very early on in the pandemic (February/March time frame).. Pacifist Patriot Sep 2020 #13
I saw that the IMHE model is projecting... Buckeye_Democrat Sep 2020 #7
I'm confident we're well past 400k already. lagomorph777 Sep 2020 #10
You're probably right, but the only numbers we can really use MineralMan Sep 2020 #12
My friend and I were talking about death toll last night Marthe48 Sep 2020 #11
I suspect that, within a month, all of the schools will be shut down. MineralMan Sep 2020 #14
I'm a big OSU football fan but in Columbus they are screaming for football this fall Botany Sep 2020 #16
They should not have opened Marthe48 Sep 2020 #18
I agree that they should not have opened. MineralMan Sep 2020 #20
You are spot on. Alacritous Crier Sep 2020 #15
Exactly correct. PCIntern Sep 2020 #17
I'm afraid so. MineralMan Sep 2020 #22
Many people who have been infected by this virus are having a rough time. hunter Sep 2020 #19
It never was "just the flu." MineralMan Sep 2020 #21
You may be right... Wounded Bear Sep 2020 #23
Boomark this post DrToast Sep 2020 #24
Be my guest. MineralMan Sep 2020 #25
I think the only thing we can relate this virus is the pandemic of 1918.. What happened then? mitch96 Sep 2020 #26
with 250,000 new cases llashram Sep 2020 #27
You are absolutely right, especially the part where this PoindexterOglethorpe Sep 2020 #28
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