Florida: A+ rated Marist poll

[Awsi Dooger]

17. 2 points feels like a landslide in Florida

I always dismiss any Florida poll suggesting a high margin either way.

But there's no question the Democratic operation is subpar in Florida, and that remedying the matter needs to be the top priority. Nate Silver tweeted last week that the national electoral landscape would be vastly different if Florida moved from just right of the tipping point to just left of the tipping point. That is exactly correct. It basically means 2 points. The GOP steals those 2 points every cycle by emphasizing Florida all year long while we attempt cram sessions in the final 2 months. It never fails. I saw a report yesterday that Biden's team just hired someone to work on Hispanic messaging. The DNC should have had that in place years ago.

However, I don't mind any poll that has Biden well ahead among independents. That's where this race will be decided. Many of the other numbers are crap, like Biden and Trump tied among Hispanics. I always emphasized that Hispanics love the presidential incumbent and that Trump would fare better there than any logic suggests. But it won't move anywhere near even. Gillum was an awful candidate yet won Hispanics by 10 points.