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fescuerescue

(4,448 posts)

12. Well that's my point

Reply to honest.abe (Reply #8)

Fri Sep 18, 2020, 03:14 PM

Sep 2020

It's an old trick. Use an odd number to make it sound like it's very firm and precise.

But when in reality, it has a 20 point spread.

Elections are decided on 2% to 5%. A result with a 20 point variation is worse than next months weather forecast.

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12 replies

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Highlight:

We have a 58% chance of gaining control of the senate [View all] Hero57 Sep 2020 OP

I'm surprised that it's that low FBaggins Sep 2020 #1

That would be nice... Maxheader Sep 2020 #2

Oh gee! I thought we were doing better than that. Doodley Sep 2020 #3

I am happy to hear that, but wish the odds were higher Sherman A1 Sep 2020 #4

+1 2naSalit Sep 2020 #5

I was hoping it would be higher Norbert Sep 2020 #6

I heard it was 59.247% fescuerescue Sep 2020 #7

That number is just the result of some complex algorithm so it has to be an exact value... honest.abe Sep 2020 #8

Well that's my point fescuerescue Sep 2020 #12

Seems about right Amishman Sep 2020 #9

South Carolina is definitely in play. Multiple recent polls show Jaime Harrison Tanuki Sep 2020 #10

Princeton consortium, jhk forecasts gives it a higher number.. middle low 60s Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #11