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TwilightZone

(25,471 posts)

4. They indicate trends.

Reply to edhopper (Reply #2)

Sun Sep 20, 2020, 10:34 AM

Sep 2020

An 8-9% win by Biden means he wins most, if not all, of the swing states. The swing states generally don't buck overall trends in blowouts. 8-9% would be a blowout. Obama's comfortable win over Romney, for example, was only 4%.

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Highlight:

* A Rated NBC WSJ POLL* Biden 51% *Klansman* 43% [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2020 OP

The polls are remarkably consistent and stable at the moment. TwilightZone Sep 2020 #1

And voting has already started. ananda Sep 2020 #3

Unfortunately edhopper Sep 2020 #2

They indicate trends. TwilightZone Sep 2020 #4

Exactly! pollsters say ntl polls are only trends until 5-6 wks out, they then are very predictive Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #8

I disagree as the outcome can fuel what democrats can do. A 15 million vote margin beachbumbob Sep 2020 #5

While the electoral votes matter a 9 pt national advantage can't be overcome. Statistical Sep 2020 #6

Yes...and with Biden polling over 50% consistently in most polls shows there are very few undecideds Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #9

People say "they don't mean anything." Happy Hoosier Sep 2020 #7

See post #4 & 8. at this point in the race they do become very predictive Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #10

true edhopper Sep 2020 #11

Cool, thanks! NT Happy Hoosier Sep 2020 #14

These polls should be interpreted as 51%-49% Azathoth Sep 2020 #12

Not sure I'd agree. TwilightZone Sep 2020 #13

Republican voters include more than the proud base Azathoth Sep 2020 #15

Don't entirely disagree edhopper Sep 2020 #16

Sure, not all, but the majority Azathoth Sep 2020 #17