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Johnny2X2X

(24,203 posts)
4. Agreed
Wed Oct 7, 2020, 01:58 PM
Oct 2020

But they aren't really even "early" polls anymore, we're 27 days to election day. I believe the Composite goes to at least +10.0 by this weekend when there will be just over 3 weeks left. I don't think the polls are capable of moving the 6 or 7 points Trump would need to have a chance in just 3 weeks without a truly remarkable black swan event.

Biden led by at least 7 point for months, Trump was running out of time to make a dent in it as it was, then the debate and Covid sent Biden's lead to 10+, If everything goes great for Trump from here on out he'll be lucky to get it back to Biden +7.

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