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bucolic_frolic

(43,158 posts)
3. I read the article about Pollster methodology changing
Sun Oct 18, 2020, 12:25 PM
Oct 2020
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-pollsters-have-changed-since-2016-and-what-still-worries-them-about-2020/

What worries me is cell phones. OK, pollsters use them but can't random dial them, they use text polls in inner cities for cell phones. What about Trump's base? Rural, uneducated whites, tradesmen, often itinerant, who basically operate from a pickup truck and a cell phone, perhaps even a pay-as-you-go? They're all building houses and maintaining them. They don't answer the phone, they're working all day. There are legions of them. This could give Trump a 2% jolt in some states, and they may be missed by pollsters.
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