My State by State Projections

[Rule of Claw]

10. GA is about a 60 percent white electorate.

AA's should be at least 30 percent of the electorate. Joe will likely carry 92 percent of that. But say 90. That is 27.

Another 10 percent is Latino and Asian. Say 65 percent of that. That is 33.5

Currently Joe is winning 36 percent of whites. Say that drops to 32. That is 19.2 or 52.7. Hillary got 21 with whites, but again, the college educated whites, especially women, have shifted dramatically.

He needs 29 with whites to win W/O Kemp issues.

Now TX is similar to GA but even less white. However it is more Hispanic than AA so Joe needs a higher percentage of white vote.

I project the electorate to be 60 percent white, 25 percent Latino, 5 percent Asian, 10 percent AA. Latinos in TX tend more conservative but 70 percent is reachable. That is 17.5 70 percent of Asian vote that is 3.5 and .93 for AAs. That totals 30 percent. That makes 50.7. Now anything above 36 with whites is almost a lock. Then even if he got 63 percent with Hispanics at 36 with whites he gets to 50.35.