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Roland99

(53,345 posts) Mon Oct 19, 2020, 04:17 PM Oct 2020

Is RealClearPolitics trying to make things looks tighter in Pennsylvania?? [View all]

Link to tweet

@RealClearNews making things look tighter than they really are.
Why is the Reuters poll of Likely Voters ending 10/11 excluded? The MoE? Well, others just below ended at the same date as the last 2 included had 2 polls w/MoE LOWER than those included

Biden +5.9 in last 10 polls

10 replies

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Highlight:

Is RealClearPolitics trying to make things looks tighter in Pennsylvania?? [View all] Roland99 Oct 2020 OP

538 PA avg: Biden +6.5; 538 PA odds: 87/12 Biden, almost the same odds as national. Nt Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #1

It's Common Knowledge that RCP Picks and Chooses Which Polls to Include in its Average Indykatie Oct 2020 #2

yeah...that's one reason I've been tending toward them lately Roland99 Oct 2020 #3

The poll aggregator for the Economist has nothing good to say about RCP Thekaspervote Oct 2020 #7

RCP, warts and all, continues to prove fairly accurate... Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 #9

RCP was closer to the actual results in 2016 than Nate Silver's model. Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 #10

A poll was just released showing Biden leading by 3 😬nt helpisontheway Oct 2020 #4

It's being excluded because a new Reuters/Ipsos poll has replaced it. Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 #5

Ah, yes. I missed that. Still...the cutouff at 6 polls? With others ending the same dates ? Roland99 Oct 2020 #6

I think six is their cut off if there aren't enough recent polls. Drunken Irishman Oct 2020 #8