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Claustrum

(5,058 posts)

5. I am with you. I think the fundamental for this race has been 7-9 points since early in the year

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 11:02 AM

Oct 2020

Yes, Trump shot his own foot in the last few weeks but "republicans will fall back in line" is my reasoning for this thinking. So I always expected a "tightening" for a long time. But "tightening" in this sense is from the double digit lead back to a "7-9 points race" which isn't all that tight (at least on the national polls). State polling is a different story though.

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In what universe is Biden up 1 in Ohio and only up 2 nationally? [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2020 OP

Cherry picking polls? Dr. Jack Oct 2020 #1

"Every poll is a data point, that's why." DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2020 #3

"Every poll is a data point" Exactly what matters ... Statistical Oct 2020 #2

If we take take the OH poll at face value that's consistent with a 10 point Joe nat'l lead. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2020 #4

I am with you. I think the fundamental for this race has been 7-9 points since early in the year Claustrum Oct 2020 #5

Biden's been above +10 for over two weeks at 538 lagomorph777 Oct 2020 #12

Biden wins the popular vote by 7 million and 308+ electoral votes. sarcasmo Oct 2020 #6

He's up 9 nationally per a NYT/Sienna poll Rice4VP Oct 2020 #7

In what universe is Trump doubling his support of young black voters? BusyBeingBest Oct 2020 #8

It's something I worry about TheRealNorth Oct 2020 #10

In Rasmussen world still_one Oct 2020 #9

Assmuffin is a waste of time lagomorph777 Oct 2020 #11