General Discussion

Celerity

(54,112 posts)

19. OH is NOT the tipping point to put Biden over 270, as I will clearly show

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 11:17 AM

Oct 2020

here is the listing

now I will make ALL of the following RED (that are Blue there)

Ohio
ME 2
North Carolina
Florida
Arizona
ME 2

PLUS I will even give Trump Nevada

this yields

Pennsylvania puts Biden over 270

therefore it is the tipping point

to put it into simple linear terms

if we win

PA
WI
MI
MN

and then win one of the following :

NH (or, far less likely, lose NH and win NV, or lose them both but flip AZ or NC, or, finally lose them ALL, all four, but flip NE-2 and ME-2)

its over

Trump has ZERO paths to win, as Colorado, Maine (overall) and Virginia are in the bag

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

24 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

538 moves the EC tipping point for Biden to...Ohio [View all] brooklynite Oct 2020 OP

Sorry not sure what that means? Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #1

OH is NOT the tipping point to put Biden over 270, as I will clearly show Celerity Oct 2020 #19

There's an easier way. TwilightZone Oct 2020 #24

Huh? tipping point is still PA if I am reading it correctly. Claustrum Oct 2020 #2

If Biden wins Texas, Trump is toast. sarcasmo Oct 2020 #3

Yes. Same as GA or OH. but that's not the definition of a tipping point state Claustrum Oct 2020 #4

Does it matter if a state (like FL usually) reports early? dawg day Oct 2020 #7

No one can predict what time each state is called. So that's not how the terminology is defined. Claustrum Oct 2020 #11

Correct. TwilightZone Oct 2020 #17

That's not what that graphic means, tipping point is still PA, but OH is now lean Biden! Nt Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #5

Wrong terminology. dawg Oct 2020 #6

Nope Yonnie3 Oct 2020 #8

Keeps moving philf99 Oct 2020 #9

It would be a nice win to help reduce anxiety. Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2020 #15

Ohio is the party point, not the tipping point.... getagrip_already Oct 2020 #10

Yes, it's the tippling point. lagomorph777 Oct 2020 #23

PA remains the "tipping point" state. Laelth Oct 2020 #12

yes, 100% correct Celerity Oct 2020 #20

Also from 538..... getagrip_already Oct 2020 #13

Oh, you mean they switched it to blue. Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2020 #14

PA is the tipping point. 27.4% vs. 2.3% for Ohio. TwilightZone Oct 2020 #16

That isn't what tipping point means. Statistical Oct 2020 #18

The Problem Is RobinA Oct 2020 #21

Yeah Biden winning PA is the most direct path to the whitehouse but the good news is Statistical Oct 2020 #22